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East Bengal vs South United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

India India

Durand Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Dani Ramirez
24' Event
Rashid M.
73' Event
Farooq D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-0. The second leg ended 5-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
East Bengal
15%
Draws
26%
South United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Bengal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and East Bengal come out ahead of South United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans East Bengal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • East Bengal have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor East Bengal, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
East Bengal Clean Sheet 20%
South United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Bengal South United
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 20 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 2.76 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.66 3.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs South United
5:0
Jul 23, 2025 Durand Cup
East Bengal vs South United
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Bengal Compare

Top Goalscorer Dani Ramirez
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rashid M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

South United Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Bengal 85 / 100
South United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Bengal South United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: East Bengal scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

South United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

East Bengal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Bengal VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

East Bengal

(Home)
08 Oct
Mohun Bagan
1 : 0
East Bengal
05 Oct
East Bengal
7 : 2
North East United
30 Sept
East Bengal
0 : 1
Minerva Punjab
24 Sept
Calcutta Customs
1 : 3
East Bengal
19 Sept
Coal India
0 : 7
East Bengal
Page 1 of 6

South United

(Away)
07 Aug
East Bengal
5 : 0
South United
04 Aug
Mohun Bagan
8 : 0
South United
28 Jul
South United
2 : 0
CISF Protectors
30 Jul
Namdhari
2 : 0
South United
27 Jul
Indian Air Force (New Delhi)
3 : 3
South United
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mohun Bagan 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 East Bengal 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
3 South United 3 1 0 2 2:13 3
4 CISF Protectors 3 0 0 3 0:16 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Army Red 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Samaleswari SC 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Mohammedan 3 1 0 2 7:5 3
4 Baghpat 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Delhi 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Jamshedpur 3 2 0 1 12:2 6
3 Indian Air Force (New Delhi) 3 1 0 2 3:14 3
4 Defenders FC 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Raengdai 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
2 TRAU FC 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
3 NEROCA 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Indian Navy 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lajong 3 2 1 0 10:3 7
2 Langsning 3 1 2 0 10:5 5
3 Nongkseh 3 1 1 1 9:4 4
4 Mumbay FC 3 0 0 3 0:17 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North East United 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 Bodoland FC 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
3 FC 1 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Karbi Anglong 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - Durand Cup (Play Offs)