Sport Picks

Stadium Background

East Fife vs Hearts B Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup 2025/2026 MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
North T.
Assist: Dow C.
45' Event
Bah M.
Assist: Newton L.
63' Event
Austin N.
Assist: McLeod E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with East Fife advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
East Fife
15%
Draws
48%
Hearts B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hearts B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Hearts B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on East Fife taking it.
  • Hearts B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor East Fife, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
East Fife Clean Sheet 68%
Hearts B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife Hearts B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 3
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.29 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.43 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 3.17 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 Challenge Cup
East Fife vs Hearts B
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Austin N.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Bah M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.44
Avg xA / game 1.58

Hearts B Compare

Top Goalscorer North T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 95 / 100
Hearts B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife Hearts B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Fife Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hearts B conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: East Fife scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: East Fife remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Hearts B
1.13 Goals Scored 3
1.38 Goals Conceded 5.2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

East Fife

(Home)
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2
Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
East Fife
08 Sept
Clyde
1 : 4
East Fife
Page 1 of 6

Hearts B

(Away)
26 Sept
Ross County
14 : 0
Hearts B
22 Sept
Kelty Hearts
3 : 5
Hearts B
08 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 6
Hearts B
25 Aug
Spartans
5 : 0
Hearts B
11 Aug
Berwick
3 : 4
Hearts B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inverness 6 6 0 0 26:4 18
2 Stenhousemuir 6 6 0 0 18:2 18
3 Montrose 6 5 1 0 18:9 16
4 East Fife 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
5 Stranraer 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
6 East Kilbride 6 4 0 2 13:11 12
7 Forfar Athletic 6 4 0 2 10:8 12
8 Edinburgh City 6 4 0 2 11:10 12
9 Spartans 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
10 Elgin City 6 3 2 1 11:9 11
11 Dumbarton 6 3 2 1 10:8 11
12 Annan 6 3 1 2 15:10 10
13 Alloa 6 3 1 2 17:14 10
14 Kelty Hearts 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
15 Clyde 6 3 1 2 14:12 10
16 Queen of the South 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
17 Hamilton 6 3 1 2 13:8 9
18 Stirling 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
19 Cove Rangers 6 2 2 2 9:6 8
20 Peterhead 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
21 Celtic B 6 2 0 4 12:15 6
22 Hearts B 6 2 0 4 9:14 6
23 Hibernian B 6 1 2 3 11:14 5
24 St. Mirren B 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
25 Dundee Utd B 6 1 0 5 5:18 3
26 Aberdeen B 6 0 1 5 9:20 1
27 Motherwell B 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
28 Rangers B 6 0 0 6 6:16 0
29 Kilmarnock B 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
30 Dundee FC B 6 0 0 6 4:21 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)