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East Fife vs Montrose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One MGM Timber Bayview Stadium, Methil
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Barjonas J.
29'
Craig H.
30' Event
Quinn A.
Assist: Barjonas J.

AI Match Summary

Montrose in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Montrose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
East Fife
15%
Draws
51%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montrose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Montrose have won more games recently than East Fife.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Montrose here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
East Fife Clean Sheet 13%
Montrose Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Fife Montrose
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 3
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
East Fife vs Montrose
1:2
Apr 4, 2026 League One
Montrose vs East Fife
1:0
Jan 31, 2026 League One
East Fife vs Montrose
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 League One
Montrose vs East Fife
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 League One
East Fife vs Montrose
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Ross C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Montrose Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinn A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Webster G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 35 / 100
Montrose 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Fife Montrose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montrose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Fife found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Montrose has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Montrose has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Montrose
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

East Fife

(Home)
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3
East Kilbride
26 Sept
East Fife
0 : 2
Clydebank FC
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
15 Sept
East Fife
4 : 1
Motherwell B
12 Sept
Queen of the South
1 : 1
East Fife
Page 1 of 6

Montrose

(Away)
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
26 Sept
Kelty Hearts
2 : 1
Montrose
22 Sept
Formartine Utd
3 : 2
Montrose
19 Sept
East Fife
1 : 2
Montrose
12 Sept
Montrose
2 : 1
Cove Rangers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 9 8 1 0 31:5 25
2 Hamilton 9 8 1 0 21:2 25
3 East Kilbride 10 5 2 3 19:14 17
4 Montrose 10 5 0 5 13:19 15
5 Airdrieonians 10 3 4 3 9:13 13
6 Queen of the South 10 3 1 6 11:27 10
7 East Fife 10 1 6 3 8:11 9
8 Alloa 10 2 3 5 9:13 9
9 Peterhead 10 2 1 7 7:17 7
10 Cove Rangers 10 1 3 6 9:16 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)