Sport Picks

Scotland

League One 2025/2026 MGM Timber Bayview Stadium

East Fife

2 - 2

Stenhousemuir

Our Tip

Match Events

23'

Buchanan G.

46'

Sub

Simpson O. In: Graham A.

Out: Simpson O.

47'

Anderson M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

East Fife

40%

Draws

29%

Stenhousemuir

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Stenhousemuir have won more games recently than East Fife.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 30%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

East Fife Clean Sheet 20%

Stenhousemuir Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	East Fife	Stenhousemuir
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	6	15
Draws	5	8
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	0.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 League One

East Fife vs Stenhousemuir

Possession: 59% - 50% Cards: 0 - 3

2:2

Jan 10, 2026 League One

Stenhousemuir vs East Fife

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Nov 15, 2025 League One

East Fife vs Stenhousemuir

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Aug 30, 2025 League One

Stenhousemuir vs East Fife

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

1:1

Apr 6, 2024 League Two

Stenhousemuir vs East Fife

Possession: 43% - 42% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Fife Compare

Top Goalscorer Munro A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Austin N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Stenhousemuir Compare

Top Goalscorer Buchanan G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Anderson M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Fife 32 / 100

Stenhousemuir 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

East Fife Stenhousemuir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: East Fife stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

East Fife scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Stenhousemuir let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

East Fife VS Stenhousemuir

0.75 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inverness	36	21	11	4	60:24	69
2	Stenhousemuir	36	18	13	5	50:27	67
3	Queen of the South	36	14	12	10	58:47	54
4	Alloa	36	15	8	13	50:38	53
5	Peterhead	36	12	7	17	48:64	43
6	Montrose	36	11	9	16	48:67	42
7	Cove Rangers	36	9	11	16	41:44	38
8	East Fife	36	9	9	18	34:61	36
9	Hamilton	36	16	7	13	54:42	34
10	Kelty Hearts	36	6	11	19	33:62	29