Sport Picks
East Kilbride vs Bonnyrigg Rose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Scotland
Challenge Cup K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride 
Match Events
48'
48'
Devine L.
Assist: Martyniuk N.
56'
56'
McKenzie C.
Assist: Balde J.
63'
63'
McGuffie C.
Assist: Armstrong R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. The second leg ended 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
20%
42%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Bonnyrigg Rose have managed 2.25 goals a game lately — East Kilbride are scoring more at 2.59.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor East Kilbride, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 68%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | East Kilbride | Bonnyrigg Rose |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.59 | 2.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 8, 2026 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Bonnyrigg Rose
3:1
May 17, 2025 League Two
Bonnyrigg Rose vs East Kilbride
0:0
May 10, 2025 League Two
East Kilbride vs Bonnyrigg Rose
3:1
Oct 26, 2024 Scottish Cup
East Kilbride vs Bonnyrigg Rose
3:1
Apr 16, 2022 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
East Kilbride Compare
Top Goalscorer McKenzie C.
1 Goals Assists Leader McGuffie C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Bonnyrigg Rose Compare
Top Goalscorer Devine L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
East Kilbride 41 / 100
Bonnyrigg Rose 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
East Kilbride Bonnyrigg Rose
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 8:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
East Kilbride scored in 85% of their last 27 games.
Bonnyrigg Rose let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
East Kilbride went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
East Kilbride VS Bonnyrigg Rose
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
East Kilbride
(Home) 10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2 Airdrieonians
03 Oct
East Fife
0 : 3 East Kilbride
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3 East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3 Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2 East Kilbride
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
East Kilbride
2 : 2 Airdrieonians
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3 Celtic B
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Peterhead
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Bonnyrigg Rose
05 Sept
East Kilbride
0 : 1 Hamilton
Page 1 of 3
Bonnyrigg Rose
(Away) 03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0 Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0 Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6 Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1 Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0 Bonnyrigg Rose
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
12 Sept
Civil Service Strollers
2 : 0 Bonnyrigg Rose
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1 Bonnyrigg Rose
22 Aug
Berwick
0 : 2 Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clydebank FC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Ross County | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 28:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Elgin City | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Cove Rangers | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Peterhead | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 7 | Alloa | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Queen of the South | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 11 |
| 9 | East Kilbride | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 10 |
| 10 | Stirling | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14:10 | 10 |
| 11 | Edinburgh City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 12 | St. Mirren B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:8 | 9 |
| 13 | Hamilton | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 9 |
| 14 | Montrose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:7 | 9 |
| 15 | Celtic B | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 15:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Formartine Utd | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Kelty Hearts | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14:13 | 9 |
| 18 | Bonnyrigg Rose | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 19 | Hearts B | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15:26 | 9 |
| 20 | Annan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 21 | Spartans | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 22 | Aberdeen B | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 7 |
| 23 | East Fife | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:11 | 7 |
| 24 | Forfar Athletic | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 25 | Berwick | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 26 | Dumbarton | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 27 | Stranraer | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13:12 | 6 |
| 28 | Rangers B | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 6 |
| 29 | Clachnacuddin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 4 |
| 30 | Kilmarnock B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 31 | Banks O' Dee | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:14 | 4 |
| 32 | Fraserburgh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:18 | 4 |
| 33 | Clyde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:14 | 3 |
| 34 | Dundee Utd B | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 35 | Cumbernauld Colts | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:13 | 2 |
| 36 | Gala Fairydean Rovers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:15 | 2 |
| 37 | Cowdenbeath | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | 0 |
| 38 | Dundee FC B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | 0 |
| 39 | Hibernian B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2:12 | 0 |
| 40 | Motherwell B | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)
