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East Kilbride vs Dalbeattie Star Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League 2022/2023 game between East Kilbride and Dalbeattie Star finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward East Kilbride.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
East Kilbride
15%
Draws
0%
Dalbeattie Star
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Dalbeattie Star haven't matched East Kilbride's recent run of results.
  • Model gives East Kilbride a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Lowland League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and East Kilbride have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 19%
Dalbeattie Star Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Dalbeattie Star
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 0
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 24
Goals Scored 2.66 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.62 4.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Dalbeattie Star
5:2
Sep 28, 2022 Lowland League
Dalbeattie Star vs East Kilbride
1:2
Nov 27, 2021 Scottish Cup
Dalbeattie Star vs East Kilbride
1:2
Nov 10, 2021 Lowland League
Dalbeattie Star vs East Kilbride
1:4
Oct 5, 2021 Lowland League
East Kilbride vs Dalbeattie Star
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 85 / 100
Dalbeattie Star 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Dalbeattie Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Dalbeattie Star conceded in 97% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Away concern: Dalbeattie Star has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Dalbeattie Star
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

Dalbeattie Star

(Away)
26 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 5
Gretna 2008
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
15 Sept
Celtic B
2 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
29 Aug
Johnstone Burgh
4 : 0
Dalbeattie Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartans 36 24 7 5 78:31 79
2 Rangers B 36 24 5 7 98:57 77
3 Celtic B 36 23 7 6 96:45 76
4 Stirling University 36 22 5 9 82:45 71
5 Tranent FC 36 19 8 9 74:44 65
6 East Kilbride 36 19 7 10 81:53 64
7 Berwick 36 18 7 11 61:51 61
8 Civil Service Strollers 36 16 10 10 63:45 58
9 Boness United 36 16 6 14 71:51 54
10 Caledonian Braves 36 15 6 15 79:67 51
11 Broomhill 36 15 6 15 73:73 51
12 Gala Fairydean Rovers 36 15 4 17 63:74 49
13 Hearts B 36 13 9 14 75:59 48
14 Cumbernauld Colts 36 14 4 18 62:59 46
15 Cowdenbeath 36 10 6 20 46:50 36
16 East Stirlingshire 36 8 9 19 41:74 33
17 Gretna 2008 36 8 2 26 39:91 26
18 Edinburgh University 36 5 1 30 31:127 16
19 Dalbeattie Star 36 1 5 30 27:144 8
Promotion - Highland League 2022/2023 (Promotion)