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East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock B Prediction & H2H Stats

Scotland Scotland

Challenge Cup K-Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Tiffoney S.
23' Event
Moffat O.
Assist: McGrattan L.
29' Event
Owen I.
Assist: Thomson J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-3. The second leg ended 5-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
East Kilbride
20%
Draws
23%
Kilmarnock B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: East Kilbride

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • East Kilbride carry the better recent record into this one.
  • East Kilbride are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • East Kilbride have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor East Kilbride, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
East Kilbride Clean Sheet 11%
Kilmarnock B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Kilbride Kilmarnock B
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 16 4
Draws 4 1
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.57 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.87 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Challenge Cup
East Kilbride vs Kilmarnock B
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Kilbride Compare

Top Goalscorer Moffat O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gray F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.21
Avg xA / game 1.44

Kilmarnock B Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tiffoney S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Kilbride 83 / 100
Kilmarnock B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Kilbride Kilmarnock B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Kilbride Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

East Kilbride found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Kilmarnock B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

East Kilbride has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

East Kilbride VS Kilmarnock B
3.13 Goals Scored 1.6
2 Goals Conceded 2.6
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
63% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

East Kilbride

(Home)
26 Sept
Stranraer
4 : 3
East Kilbride
22 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 3
Celtic B
19 Sept
Alloa
1 : 2
East Kilbride
12 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Peterhead
08 Sept
East Kilbride
3 : 1
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

Kilmarnock B

(Away)
26 Sept
Hamilton
3 : 0
Kilmarnock B
22 Sept
Dumbarton
3 : 2
Kilmarnock B
08 Sept
Cowdenbeath
1 : 2
Kilmarnock B
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
11 Aug
East Kilbride
5 : 3
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Clydebank FC 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
2 Ross County 5 4 0 1 28:6 12
3 Airdrieonians 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
4 Elgin City 5 4 0 1 14:2 12
5 Cove Rangers 5 4 0 1 17:6 12
6 Peterhead 5 4 0 1 11:4 12
7 Alloa 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
8 Queen of the South 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
9 East Kilbride 5 3 1 1 17:12 10
10 Stirling 5 3 1 1 14:10 10
11 Edinburgh City 5 3 1 1 6:4 10
12 St. Mirren B 5 3 0 2 14:8 9
13 Hamilton 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
14 Montrose 5 3 0 2 11:7 9
15 Celtic B 5 2 3 0 15:12 9
16 Formartine Utd 5 3 0 2 11:8 9
17 Kelty Hearts 5 3 0 2 14:13 9
18 Bonnyrigg Rose 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
19 Hearts B 5 3 0 2 15:26 9
20 Annan 5 2 2 1 9:5 8
21 Spartans 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
22 Aberdeen B 5 2 1 2 10:8 7
23 East Fife 5 2 1 2 12:11 7
24 Forfar Athletic 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
25 Berwick 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
26 Dumbarton 5 2 1 2 10:15 7
27 Stranraer 5 2 0 3 13:12 6
28 Rangers B 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
29 Clachnacuddin 5 1 1 3 10:12 4
30 Kilmarnock B 5 1 1 3 8:13 4
31 Banks O' Dee 5 1 1 3 6:14 4
32 Fraserburgh 5 1 1 3 5:18 4
33 Clyde 5 1 0 4 6:14 3
34 Dundee Utd B 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
35 Cumbernauld Colts 5 0 2 3 4:13 2
36 Gala Fairydean Rovers 5 0 2 3 3:15 2
37 Cowdenbeath 5 0 0 5 4:12 0
38 Dundee FC B 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
39 Hibernian B 5 0 0 5 2:12 0
40 Motherwell B 5 0 0 5 4:18 0
Promotion - Challenge Cup (Play Offs)