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East Riffa vs Al-Ahli

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Sarr B.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2024/2025 game between East Riffa and Al-Ahli finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward East Riffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
East Riffa
40%
Draws
29%
Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
East Riffa Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Riffa Al-Ahli
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Premier League
East Riffa vs Al-Ahli
1:0
Jan 9, 2025 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs East Riffa
3:2
Feb 14, 2024 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs East Riffa
1:0
Sep 24, 2023 Premier League
East Riffa vs Al-Ahli
2:1
Feb 8, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs East Riffa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Riffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarr B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al-Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Riffa 32 / 100
Al-Ahli 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Riffa Al-Ahli

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: East Riffa scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Al-Ahli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: East Riffa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Riffa VS Al-Ahli
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22163354:1751
2Al Khalidiyah22133640:2642
3Sitra22108433:2138
4Al Riffa22115639:2738
5Al-Shabbab2279623:2330
6Malkia22610623:2728
7Al-Ahli22831132:3527
8Al-Najma2276929:2927
9Bahrain SC22651127:4123
10Ali CSC22651126:3723
11East Riffa22481021:3120
12Manama Club22271315:4813