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East Riffa vs Ali CSC

Bahrain Bahrain

King's Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Silva W.
81' Event
Cordoba G. G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with East Riffa advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
East Riffa
20%
Draws
40%
Ali CSC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ali CSC come out ahead of East Riffa on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Ali CSC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor East Riffa, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
East Riffa Clean Sheet 20%
Ali CSC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric East Riffa Ali CSC
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Premier League
Ali CSC vs East Riffa
1:0
Jan 24, 2025 King's Cup
East Riffa vs Ali CSC
2:0
Jan 16, 2025 Premier League
East Riffa vs Ali CSC
1:1
May 30, 2023 Premier League
East Riffa vs Ali CSC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

East Riffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordoba G. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Ali CSC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

East Riffa 32 / 100
Ali CSC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
East Riffa Ali CSC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ali CSC let in goals in 81% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: East Riffa scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Ali CSC registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

East Riffa VS Ali CSC
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

East Riffa

(Home)
11 Sept
Al-Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
East Riffa
0 : 0
Sitra
28 Aug
East Riffa
0 : 2
Al-Hidd
12 Jan
East Riffa
1 : 2
Manama Club
26 May
East Riffa
0 : 2
Al-Shabbab
Page 1 of 7

Ali CSC

(Away)
09 Jun
Al-Hala
1 : 2
Ali CSC
04 Jun
Ali CSC
0 : 1
Bahrain SC
31 May
Ali CSC
0 : 0
Isa Town
26 May
Ali CSC
0 : 2
Al-Muharraq
22 May
Al Khalidiyah
1 : 0
Ali CSC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Busaiteen 0
Bahrain SC 4
TBD -
Al Riffa -
East Riffa 2
Ali CSC 0
TBD -
Manama Club -
Tadamun Buri 0
Bouri 1
TBD -
Sitra -
Al-Ittifaq 1
Isa Town 0
TBD -
Al-Ahli -
Umm Al Hassam 0
Al Reef 1
TBD -
Al Khalidiyah -
Al-Hala 3
Qalali 0
TBD -
Al-Najma -
Al-Hidd 2
Malkia 1
TBD -
Al-Shabbab -
Al-Ittihad 2
Al-Budaiya 3
TBD -
Al-Muharraq -
1/8-finals
Bahrain SC 0
Al Riffa 2
East Riffa 1
Manama Club 0
Bouri 0
Sitra 1
Al-Ittifaq 1
Al-Ahli 2
Al Reef 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al-Hala 3
Al-Najma 1
Al-Hidd 1
Al-Shabbab 2
Al-Budaiya 2
Al-Muharraq 4
Quarter-finals
Al Riffa 3
East Riffa 2
Sitra 2
Al-Ahli 1
Al Khalidiyah 6
Al-Hala 2
Al-Shabbab 1
Al-Muharraq 2
Semi-finals
Al Riffa 1
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 2
Al-Muharraq 0
Final
Sitra 2
Al Khalidiyah 3