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Eastbourne Borough vs Welling - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastbourne Borough host Welling in the Isthmian League Premier Division. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Eastbourne Borough at 1.78 goals for, 1.78 against; Welling at 1.83 for, 1.45 against. Head-to-head, Eastbourne Borough have won 3 to Welling's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Nov 5, 2024, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.31, favoring Welling. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Eastbourne Borough
15%
Draws
32%
Welling
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastbourne Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Welling carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Eastbourne Borough taking it.
  • Regular Isthmian League Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Eastbourne Borough Clean Sheet 18%
Welling Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastbourne Borough Welling
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 3 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.78 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 5, 2024 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Welling
4:1
Oct 12, 2024 National League South
Welling vs Eastbourne Borough
0:1
Dec 16, 2023 National League South
Welling vs Eastbourne Borough
0:2
Sep 23, 2023 National League South
Eastbourne Borough vs Welling
2:2
Apr 10, 2023 National League South
Welling vs Eastbourne Borough
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastbourne Borough 85 / 100
Welling 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastbourne Borough Welling

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastbourne Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastbourne Borough scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Eastbourne Borough stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Welling let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Eastbourne Borough VS Welling
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastbourne Borough

(Home)
03 Oct
Thame United
0 : 1
Eastbourne Borough
26 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
4 : 2
Welwyn Garden
19 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
3 : 0
Windsor & Eton
15 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
2 : 1
Chatham
12 Sept
Eastbourne Borough
3 : 0
Cheshunt
Page 1 of 6

Welling

(Away)
03 Oct
Welling
1 : 0
Whyteleafe
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Dulwich Hamlet
4 : 1
Welling
15 Sept
Welling
2 : 0
Cheshunt
12 Sept
Welling
4 : 1
Wingate & Finchley
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Welling 9 7 0 2 19:9 21
2 Dartford 9 7 0 2 15:9 21
3 Carshalton 10 7 0 3 18:15 21
4 Lewes 10 6 1 3 15:11 19
5 Enfield Town 8 6 0 2 23:11 18
6 Dulwich Hamlet 8 5 1 2 18:9 16
7 Leatherhead 9 4 3 2 17:15 15
8 St. Albans 8 4 2 2 17:13 14
9 Ramsgate 9 4 1 4 21:13 13
10 Burgess Hill 8 3 4 1 15:10 13
11 Eastbourne Borough 8 4 1 3 14:11 13
12 Cray Wanderers 8 3 3 2 18:12 12
13 Chatham 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
14 Wingate & Finchley 8 3 2 3 13:18 11
15 Aveley 9 3 1 5 16:16 10
16 Brentwood 9 3 0 6 15:16 9
17 Maldon & Tiptree 10 3 0 7 14:30 9
18 Cheshunt 9 1 5 3 7:12 8
19 Whyteleafe 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
20 Three Bridges 9 1 2 6 16:28 5
21 Whitehawk 10 1 2 7 10:22 5
22 Stanway Rovers 8 1 1 6 6:21 4
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs)