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Eastern AA vs Lee Man Warriors

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bleda M.
45'
Mikael
49' Event
Gigauri M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Eastern AA and Lee Man Warriors finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Eastern AA
20%
Draws
61%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Lee Man Warriors carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lee Man Warriors a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 19
Draws 4 6
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.59 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.66 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Lee Man Warriors
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
8:1
Apr 26, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Eastern AA
2:1
Feb 16, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Lee Man Warriors
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Bleda M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lee Man Warriors Compare

Top Goalscorer Gigauri M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 10 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lee Man Warriors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern AA scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Lee Man Warriors conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Eastern AA went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS Lee Man Warriors
2.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
06 Sept
Hong Kong FC
0 : 3
Lee Man Warriors
28 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Shatin
23 Aug
Lee Man Warriors
3 : 0
Kowloon City
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 18 16 2 0 47:15 50
2 Lee Man Warriors 18 10 6 2 47:19 36
3 North District 18 8 7 3 36:27 31
4 Tai Po 18 9 4 5 36:26 31
5 Eastern AA 18 7 4 7 29:28 25
6 Kowloon City 18 6 3 9 22:33 21
7 Eastern District 18 5 4 9 15:15 19
8 Southern District 18 5 3 10 18:28 18
9 Hong Kong Rangers 18 5 2 11 20:38 17
10 Hong Kong FC 18 1 1 16 12:53 4
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)