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Eastern AA vs North District

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Abadia D.
28'
Weverton Gudula
30'
Sub
Wong Tsz-Ho In: Wong Fred Yang
Out: Wong Tsz-Ho

AI Match Summary

Eastern AA in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastern AA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Eastern AA
6%
Draws
4%
North District
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: North District at 2 per game, Eastern AA at 1.63.
  • Model gives Eastern AA a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Eastern AA here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 18%
North District Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA North District
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs North District
3:1
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
North District vs Eastern AA
0:3
Jan 28, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs North District
1:4
May 11, 2025 Premier League
North District vs Eastern AA
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Sapling Cup
North District vs Eastern AA
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Almazan D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Felipe Sa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

North District Compare

Top Goalscorer Arboleda Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 85 / 100
North District 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA North District

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North District has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Eastern AA's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Solid form: Eastern AA remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS North District
1.63 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
11 Apr
Eastern AA
5 : 0
Hong Kong FC
Page 1 of 7

North District

(Away)
24 May
Eastern District
3 : 2
North District
10 May
North District
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
25 Apr
North District
2 : 2
Kitchee
18 Apr
Tai Po
3 : 2
North District
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kitchee22164254:2852
2Tai Po22134549:3243
3Lee Man Warriors22126457:2642
4Eastern AA2295839:3732
5North District2288643:3932
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