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Eastern AA vs Pegasus

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastern AA in this Sapling Cup 2019/2020 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Eastern AA
15%
Draws
59%
Pegasus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pegasus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern AA have won more games recently than Pegasus.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Eastern AA taking it.
  • Eastern AA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Eastern AA, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 14%
Pegasus Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA Pegasus
Matches Played 36 25
Wins 15 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
4:0
Apr 24, 2021 Premier League
Pegasus vs Eastern AA
0:1
Mar 15, 2021 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
0:0
Apr 18, 2020 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
0:0
Mar 21, 2020 FA Cup
Eastern AA vs Pegasus
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 35 / 100
Pegasus 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA Pegasus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern AA scored in 83% of their last 36 games.

Defensive concern: Pegasus conceded in 72% of 25 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Eastern AA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
05 Aug
Ratchaburi
6 : 2
Eastern AA
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
Page 1 of 8

Pegasus

(Away)
23 May
Pegasus
1 : 5
Lee Man Warriors
19 May
Pegasus
2 : 1
Kitchee
15 May
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Pegasus
11 May
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Pegasus
06 May
Happy Valley
1 : 3
Pegasus
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 8 6 1 1 20:6 19
2 Eastern AA 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
3 Pegasus 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Lee Man Warriors 8 2 1 5 17:22 7
5 Hong Kong Rangers 8 1 1 6 10:27 4
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southern District 8 4 3 1 8:5 15
2 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 8 4 1 3 18:12 13
3 Yuen Long 8 3 3 2 19:17 12
4 Happy Valley 8 2 2 4 13:17 8
5 Tai Po 8 1 3 4 18:25 6
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)