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Eastern AA vs Tai Po

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League 2025/2026 Tseung Kwan O Sports Ground, Hongkong
Eastern AA Logo

Eastern AA

2 - 4
FT
Tai Po Logo

Tai Po

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Felipe Sa
33' Event
Okubo Y.
37' Event
Temelkovski J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tai Po in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tai Po.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Eastern AA
20%
Draws
38%
Tai Po
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern AA haven't matched Tai Po's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Eastern AA taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 10%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA Tai Po
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Tai Po
2:4
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Tai Po
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Premier League
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
3:1
Sep 6, 2025 League Cup
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
3:1
Apr 20, 2025 FA Cup
Tai Po vs Eastern AA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern AA Compare

Top Goalscorer Okubo Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gondra M. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Tai Po Compare

Top Goalscorer Temelkovski J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Chung Wai-Keung
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 40 / 100
Tai Po 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA Tai Po

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Eastern AA scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Tai Po conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Eastern AA stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS Tai Po
2.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
17 May
Kitchee
4 : 4
Eastern AA
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
01 May
Eastern AA
3 : 1
North District
26 Apr
Lee Man Warriors
0 : 1
Eastern AA
11 Apr
Eastern AA
5 : 0
Hong Kong FC
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Tai Po

(Away)
02 Aug
Tai Po
1 : 4
Terengganu
30 May
Tai Po
2 : 1
Eastern District
23 May
Tai Po
2 : 0
Hong Kong Rangers
17 May
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 3
Tai Po
09 May
Eastern AA
2 : 4
Tai Po
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kitchee 22 16 4 2 54:28 52
2 Tai Po 22 13 4 5 49:32 43
3 Lee Man Warriors 22 12 6 4 57:26 42
4 Eastern AA 22 9 5 8 39:37 32
5 North District 22 8 8 6 43:39 32
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