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Eastern AA vs Yuen Long Prediction & H2H Stats

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Sapling Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Yuen Long advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Eastern AA
20%
Draws
36%
Yuen Long
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Eastern AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Eastern AA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Eastern AA's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Eastern AA have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Yuen Long, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eastern AA Clean Sheet 19%
Yuen Long Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern AA Yuen Long
Matches Played 43 24
Wins 17 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.72 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2020 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Yuen Long
0:0
Aug 31, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Eastern AA
1:2
May 5, 2019 Premier League
Yuen Long vs Eastern AA
3:4
Feb 3, 2019 Sapling Cup
Eastern AA vs Yuen Long
2:3
Oct 31, 2018 Premier League
Eastern AA vs Yuen Long
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern AA 42 / 100
Yuen Long 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern AA Yuen Long

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yuen Long's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 24 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Eastern AA scored in 79% of their last 43 games.

Eastern AA has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastern AA VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern AA

(Home)
26 Sept
Eastern AA
3 : 1
Kitchee
20 Sept
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 0
Eastern AA
05 Sept
Eastern AA
4 : 0
Kowloon City
30 Aug
Tai Po
4 : 1
Eastern AA
21 Aug
Eastern AA
1 : 3
Shatin
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Yuen Long

(Away)
12 Mar
Yuen Long
4 : 5
Pegasus
29 Feb
Tai Po
2 : 2
Yuen Long
15 Feb
Yuen Long
4 : 3
Happy Valley
12 Feb
Yuen Long
1 : 2
Southern District
19 Jan
Happy Valley
1 : 1
Yuen Long
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yuen Long 4 3 0 1 10:7 9
2 King Fung Football Club 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
3 Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) 4 2 1 1 6:4 7
4 Tai Po 4 1 0 3 5:8 3
5 Eastern AA 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lee Man Warriors 4 3 0 1 13:7 9
2 Pegasus 4 3 0 1 10:7 9
3 Southern District 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Kitchee 4 1 1 2 10:7 4
5 Hoi King 4 0 0 4 4:18 0
Promotion - Sapling Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)