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Eastern Railway vs East Bengal 2

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastern Railway play East Bengal 2 in the Calcutta Premier Division 2023. East Bengal 2 are favorites here. Recently, Eastern Railway averaged 1 goals scored and 2.06 conceded. East Bengal 2 averaged 2.52 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. In past meetings, Eastern Railway won 0, East Bengal 2 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 27, 2023 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Eastern Railway and 1.81 for East Bengal 2. This points to a East Bengal 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Eastern Railway
19%
Draws
59%
East Bengal 2
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: East Bengal 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern Railway picked up more points recently compared to East Bengal 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Eastern Railway Clean Sheet 11%
East Bengal 2 Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Railway East Bengal 2
Matches Played 31 23
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 17 4
Goals Scored 1 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.06 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Eastern Railway vs East Bengal 2
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Railway Compare

Top Goalscorer Chanda D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

East Bengal 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aman C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Saha D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Railway 22 / 100
East Bengal 2 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Railway East Bengal 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick East Bengal 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick East Bengal 2 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +57.1%
7.14
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eastern Railway attacking → ← attacking East Bengal 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Railway scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

East Bengal 2 let in goals in 52% of their last 23 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Eastern Railway went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

East Bengal 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 49
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Mohammedan1292133:929
2Diamond Harbour1292126:529
3Mohun Bagan U231273230:1324
4Kalighat Milan Sangha1273221:824
5Army Red1256118:1121
6Peerless1255222:920
7United SC1261525:819
8Southern Samity1243514:1715
9Tollygunge Agragami122289:288
10Patha Chakra1214713:287
11Calcutta FC121478:387
12Food Corporation of India121388:326
13Dalhousie120488:294
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1East Bengal 21293029:630
2Bhawanipore1283123:827
3Kidderpore SC1281316:1125
4Aryan1280428:1224
5Calcutta Customs1261513:1319
6Rainbow AC1252511:1017
7Wari1251616:2316
8Railway FC1233612:2112
9BSS Sporting1225512:1411
10George Telegrapher1232711:1911
11Eastern Railway1232716:2611
12Police AC1231810:2210
13West Bengal Police1222812:248