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Eastern Railway vs Police AC

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastern Railway play Police AC in the Calcutta Premier Division 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eastern Railway averaged 1 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Police AC averaged 1.39 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Eastern Railway won 0, Police AC won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 18, 2024 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.05 for Eastern Railway and 1.67 for Police AC. This points to a Police AC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Eastern Railway
32%
Draws
42%
Police AC
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Police AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Eastern Railway picked up more points recently compared to Police AC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.05 vs 1.67 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Eastern Railway Clean Sheet 13%
Police AC Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 62%
Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Railway Police AC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.20 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Eastern Railway vs Police AC
0:1
Jul 12, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Police AC vs Eastern Railway
0:0
Nov 11, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Eastern Railway vs Police AC
0:0
Aug 3, 2023 Calcutta Premier Division
Eastern Railway vs Police AC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Railway Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Police AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Debnath A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Railway 26 / 100
Police AC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Railway Police AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Police AC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eastern Railway attacking → ← attacking Police AC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Railway scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Police AC let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Eastern Railway went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Police AC lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 45
1.60 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
2.20 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50