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Eastern Railway vs Tollygunge Agragami

India India

Calcutta Premier Division 2024
Sat, Sep 14, 2024
3 - 0
09:15 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastern Railway play Tollygunge Agragami in the Calcutta Premier Division 2024. Eastern Railway are favorites here. Recently, Eastern Railway averaged 1 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Tollygunge Agragami averaged 0.79 goals scored and 2.96 conceded. In past meetings, Eastern Railway won 1, Tollygunge Agragami won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 14, 2024 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.88 for Eastern Railway and 1.31 for Tollygunge Agragami. This points to a Eastern Railway double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Eastern Railway
16%
Draws
24%
Tollygunge Agragami
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Eastern Railway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern Railway picked up more points recently compared to Tollygunge Agragami.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.88 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Eastern Railway Clean Sheet 18%
Tollygunge Agragami Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Railway Tollygunge Agragami
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.97 2.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Eastern Railway vs Tollygunge Agragami
3:0
Jul 2, 2024 Calcutta Premier Division
Eastern Railway vs Tollygunge Agragami
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Railway 58 / 100
Tollygunge Agragami 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Railway Tollygunge Agragami

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Railway Win (1)
Secondary Pick Eastern Railway & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eastern Railway attacking → ← attacking Tollygunge Agragami

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Railway scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Tollygunge Agragami let in goals in 89% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Eastern Railway went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tollygunge Agragami lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 12
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.13