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Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Heath Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Martin T.
17' Event
Russell J.
42' Event
Kusunoki D.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland game between Eastern Suburbs and Gold Coast Knights SC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gold Coast Knights SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Eastern Suburbs
30%
Draws
58%
Gold Coast Knights SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gold Coast Knights SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gold Coast Knights SC come out ahead of Eastern Suburbs on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Gold Coast Knights SC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Gold Coast Knights SC have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast Knights SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Gold Coast Knights SC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.63 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2026 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Mar 20, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Eastern Suburbs
2:1
Jul 16, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Gold Coast Knights SC
1:3
Jun 11, 2023 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast Knights SC vs Eastern Suburbs
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusunoki D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Gold Coast Knights SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Russell J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 22 / 100
Gold Coast Knights SC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Gold Coast Knights SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gold Coast Knights SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gold Coast Knights SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Eastern Suburbs's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Eastern Suburbs went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Gold Coast Knights SC
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0
Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
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Gold Coast Knights SC

(Away)
29 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior
2 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
14 Aug
Brisbane Roar U23
1 : 2
Gold Coast Knights SC
08 Aug
Gold Coast Knights SC
2 : 2
Peninsula
01 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
1 : 0
Gold Coast Knights SC
25 Jul
Gold Coast Knights SC
1 : 1
Gold Coast Utd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)