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Eastern Suburbs vs Hawke s Bay

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Dowling S.
24' Event
Solomons A.
63' Event
Bueno M.

AI Match Summary

Eastern Suburbs in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eastern Suburbs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Eastern Suburbs
22%
Draws
18%
Hawke s Bay
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Eastern Suburbs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Eastern Suburbs has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hawke s Bay.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Eastern Suburbs.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Football Championship 2019/2020 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 20%
Hawke s Bay Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Hawke s Bay
Matches Played 39 28
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 2.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2021 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2
Jan 10, 2021 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hawke s Bay
1:2
Mar 8, 2020 Football Championship
Eastern Suburbs vs Hawke s Bay
4:2
Dec 1, 2019 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Eastern Suburbs
3:3
Dec 16, 2018 Football Championship
Hawke s Bay vs Eastern Suburbs
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowling S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Solomons A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Hawke s Bay Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoy G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kilkolly A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 58 / 100
Hawke s Bay 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Hawke s Bay

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern Suburbs scored in 79% of their last 39 games.

Hawke s Bay let in goals in 93% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Eastern Suburbs went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hawke s Bay lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS -
2.88 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610