Sport Picks

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Eastern Suburbs vs Olympic FC

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Heath Park, Brisbane
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Pengelly A.
35' Event
Simpkin J.
45' Event
Cobb T.

AI Match Summary

Olympic FC in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Olympic FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Eastern Suburbs
15%
Draws
73%
Olympic FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olympic FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Olympic FC haven't matched Eastern Suburbs's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Olympic FC a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 12%
Olympic FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Olympic FC
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.65 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Olympic FC
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Eastern Suburbs
1:2
Jun 15, 2025 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Eastern Suburbs
3:3
May 10, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Olympic FC
1:0
Aug 26, 2023 NPL Queensland
Olympic FC vs Eastern Suburbs
6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Pengelly A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Olympic FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Simpkin J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cobb T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 14 / 100
Olympic FC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Olympic FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Olympic FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Olympic FC conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Eastern Suburbs's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Olympic FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Olympic FC
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs

(Home)
14 Aug
Gold Coast Utd
2 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
08 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 0
Wynnum Wolves
31 Jul
Rochedale
2 : 1
Eastern Suburbs
18 Jul
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 4
Magic United TFA FC
12 Jul
Queensland Lions
1 : 0
Eastern Suburbs
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Olympic FC

(Away)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
14 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Rochedale
08 Aug
Olympic FC
1 : 2
Moreton City Excelsior
02 Aug
Magic United TFA FC
0 : 3
Olympic FC
19 Jul
Olympic FC
3 : 1
Brisbane Roar U23
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 22 17 2 3 57:22 53
2 Peninsula 22 13 6 3 49:27 45
3 Moreton City Excelsior 22 12 3 7 51:35 39
4 Gold Coast Knights SC 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
5 Brisbane City 22 9 7 6 47:48 34
6 Wynnum Wolves 22 9 6 7 36:40 33
7 Eastern Suburbs 22 9 2 11 34:35 29
8 Olympic FC 22 8 2 12 39:43 26
9 Magic United TFA FC 22 7 1 14 33:59 22
10 Rochedale 22 6 3 13 34:52 21
11 Gold Coast Utd 22 6 2 14 26:39 20
12 Brisbane Roar U23 22 5 1 16 32:52 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland (Play Offs)
Relegation - Queensland Premier League (Main)