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Eastern Suburbs vs Queensland Lions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland Heath Park
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Fiechtner A.
22' Event
Broderick L.
45' Event
Fiechtner A.

AI Match Summary

Queensland Lions in this NPL Queensland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Queensland Lions.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Eastern Suburbs
6%
Draws
90%
Queensland Lions
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Queensland Lions

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Queensland Lions lately — more wins on the board than Eastern Suburbs.
  • Queensland Lions are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular NPL Queensland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Queensland Lions Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs Queensland Lions
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 20
Draws 2 3
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.63 3.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs
1:0
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Queensland Lions
1:3
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Queensland
Queensland Lions vs Eastern Suburbs
0:1
Jul 9, 2025 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Queensland Lions
4:3
Aug 20, 2023 NPL Queensland
Eastern Suburbs vs Queensland Lions
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastern Suburbs Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudson J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Queensland Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Fiechtner A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Broderick L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs 10 / 100
Queensland Lions 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs Queensland Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Eastern Suburbs scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Queensland Lions's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Eastern Suburbs has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs VS Queensland Lions
1.63 Goals Scored 3.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Peninsula18133243:2042
2Queensland Lions18132349:2041
3Moreton City Excelsior18112547:2835
4Gold Coast Knights SC17103440:2533
5Eastern Suburbs1891832:2728
6Brisbane City1876538:3927
7Wynnum Wolves1875629:3426
8Olympic FC18621031:3820
9Rochedale18431127:4515
10Gold Coast Utd17411222:3513
11Brisbane Roar U2318411326:4313
12Magic United TFA FC18411324:5413