Sport Picks
Eastern Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic
New Zealand
Chatham Cup 2025 
Match Events
30'
30'
Mechell J.
45'
45'
Prins I.
(Penalty)
1'
1'
Reynolds J.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
Wellington Olympic in this Chatham Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Eastern Suburbs haven't matched Wellington Olympic's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Wellington Olympic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Wellington Olympic, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Eastern Suburbs Clean Sheet 10%
Wellington Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Eastern Suburbs | Wellington Olympic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2025 Chatham Cup
Eastern Suburbs vs Wellington Olympic
1:2
Oct 12, 2024 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
4:1
Oct 14, 2023 National League
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 Chatham Cup
Wellington Olympic vs Eastern Suburbs
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Eastern Suburbs Compare
Top Goalscorer Mechell J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Wellington Olympic Compare
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Eastern Suburbs 30 / 100
Wellington Olympic 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Eastern Suburbs Wellington Olympic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eastern Suburbs found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Wellington Olympic has conceded goals in 84% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.
Difficult form: Wellington Olympic registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Eastern Suburbs VS Wellington Olympic
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Eastern Suburbs
(Home) 16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
26 Jul
Fencibles United AFC
0 : 2 Eastern Suburbs
05 Jul
Manukau United
1 : 3 Eastern Suburbs
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
16 Nov
Cashmere Technical
1 : 0 Eastern Suburbs
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 2 Wellington Olympic
24 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 2 Western Suburbs
10 Nov
Eastern Suburbs
2 : 2 Birkenhead
27 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 3 Auckland City
20 Oct
Eastern Suburbs
0 : 1 Western Springs
Page 1 of 3
Wellington Olympic
(Away) 13 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Auckland City
06 Dec
Wellington Olympic
2 : 1 Miramar
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3 Wellington Olympic
21 Nov
Wellington Olympic
2 : 3 Christchurch
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1 Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 7
30 Nov
Auckland United
0 : 3 Wellington Olympic
15 Nov
Auckland FC 2
2 : 1 Wellington Olympic
26 Oct
Birkenhead
2 : 4 Wellington Olympic
12 Oct
Coastal Spirit
1 : 3 Wellington Olympic
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 5 Wellington Olympic
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Fencibles United AFC 2
Western Springs 1
Manukau United 1
Eastern Suburbs 3
Western Suburbs 4
Palmerston North United FC 1
Napier City 2
Wellington Olympic 3
Wanaka FC 0
Christchurch 3
Auckland United 7
Melville 1
Dunedin City Royals 0
Nelson Suburbs FC 1
Birkenhead 7
Waiheke United 0
Quarter-finals
Fencibles United AFC 0
Eastern Suburbs 2
Western Suburbs 2
Wellington Olympic 3
Christchurch 2
Auckland United 4
Nelson Suburbs FC 2
Birkenhead 1
Semi-finals
Eastern Suburbs 1
Wellington Olympic 2
Auckland United 3
Nelson Suburbs FC 0
Final
Wellington Olympic 4
Auckland United 2
