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Eastern Suburbs W vs Canterbury United W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

National League Women
Sun, Nov 15, 2026
VS
03:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastern Suburbs W host Canterbury United W in the National League Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Eastern Suburbs W at 2.94 goals for, 0.9 against; Canterbury United W at 1.86 for, 2.75 against. Head-to-head, Eastern Suburbs W have won 4 to Canterbury United W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2025, ending 5:0. Model xG sits at 2.44 vs 1.00, favoring Eastern Suburbs W. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Eastern Suburbs W
15%
Draws
24%
Canterbury United W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eastern Suburbs W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Eastern Suburbs W lately — more wins on the board than Canterbury United W.
  • Eastern Suburbs W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Eastern Suburbs W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Eastern Suburbs W Clean Sheet 20%
Canterbury United W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern Suburbs W Canterbury United W
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.94 1.86
Goals Conceded 0.9 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Canterbury United W
5:0
Nov 8, 2024 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
1:3
Nov 19, 2023 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
2:3
Nov 20, 2022 National League Women
Eastern Suburbs W vs Canterbury United W
1:2
Oct 2, 2022 National League Women
Canterbury United W vs Eastern Suburbs W
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern Suburbs W 85 / 100
Canterbury United W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern Suburbs W Canterbury United W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastern Suburbs W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canterbury United W has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Eastern Suburbs W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Eastern Suburbs W scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Eastern Suburbs W VS Canterbury United W
2.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastern Suburbs W

(Home)
04 Oct
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 0
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
26 Sept
West Coast Rangers W
0 : 4
Eastern Suburbs W
05 Sept
Eastern Suburbs W
3 : 1
Cashmere Technical W
16 Aug
Eastern Suburbs W
6 : 0
Ellerslie W
25 Jul
Eastern Suburbs W
1 : 0
Auckland United W
Page 1 of 7

Canterbury United W

(Away)
27 Sept
Wellington Phoenix 2 W
3 : 1
Canterbury United W
21 Nov
Canterbury United W
9 : 0
Central Football W
15 Nov
Petone W
0 : 2
Canterbury United W
08 Nov
Canterbury United W
0 : 5
West Coast Rangers W
01 Nov
Canterbury United W
1 : 8
Wellington United W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland United W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Eastern Suburbs W 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
3 Waterside Karori W 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Fencibles W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Wellington United W 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Wellington Phoenix 2 W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
7 West Coast Rangers W 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
8 Canterbury United W 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
9 Southern United W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - National League Women (Play Offs)