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Eastern United vs Adelaide Vipers

Australia Australia

SA State League 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastern United play Adelaide Vipers in the SA State League 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eastern United averaged 1.22 goals scored and 2.28 conceded. Adelaide Vipers averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.09 conceded. In past meetings, Eastern United won 0, Adelaide Vipers won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 28, 2025 ended 2:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.98 for Eastern United and 2.10 for Adelaide Vipers. This points to a Adelaide Vipers double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Eastern United
15%
Draws
48%
Adelaide Vipers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Vipers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Eastern United picked up more points recently compared to Adelaide Vipers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.98 vs 2.10 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Eastern United Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Vipers Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastern United Adelaide Vipers
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.22 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.28 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 2.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Eastern United vs Adelaide Vipers
2:4
Jun 10, 2023 SA State League
Eastern United vs Adelaide Vipers
0:2
Mar 25, 2023 SA State League
Adelaide Vipers vs Eastern United
4:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastern United 35 / 100
Adelaide Vipers 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastern United Adelaide Vipers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Adelaide Vipers or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eastern United attacking → ← attacking Adelaide Vipers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastern United scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Adelaide Vipers let in goals in 88% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Eastern United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Adelaide Vipers lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 33
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.33
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.33

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders22132756:3441
2Para22131853:4240
3Playford Patriots22106650:3136
4Adelaide Cobras22113836:2936
5Cumberland United22104832:3134
6West Torrens Birkalla22104837:3734
7Blue Eagles2295839:3732
8Adelaide Atletico2287739:3631
9Fulham United22921132:3629
10Adelaide Vipers22751042:4926
11Eastern United22641233:5622
12Port Adelaide Lion22411726:5713