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Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood

England England

National League 2025/2026 Silverlake Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eastleigh play Boreham Wood in the National League 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eastleigh averaged 1.28 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Boreham Wood averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Eastleigh won 2, Boreham Wood won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Eastleigh and 1.63 for Boreham Wood. This points to a Boreham Wood double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Eastleigh
24%
Draws
48%
Boreham Wood
Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Boreham Wood

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Eastleigh picked up more points recently compared to Boreham Wood.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 14%
Boreham Wood Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Boreham Wood
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.28 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 National League
Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 National League
Boreham Wood vs Eastleigh
2:0
Jan 24, 2024 National League
Boreham Wood vs Eastleigh
4:4
Nov 21, 2023 National League
Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood
2:1
Nov 4, 2023 FA Cup
Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Top Goalscorer Blair A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tabor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Boreham Wood Compare

Top Goalscorer Brunt Z.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Richardson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 28 / 100
Boreham Wood 46 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Boreham Wood

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Boreham Wood or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eastleigh attacking → ← attacking Boreham Wood

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eastleigh scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Boreham Wood let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Eastleigh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Boreham Wood lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 58
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1York City463394114:41108
2Rochdale46337688:41106
3Carlisle46298987:5195
4Boreham Wood462791095:5890
5Scunthorpe4623131077:6282
6Southend4623121183:4781
7Forest Green4623121182:5281
8Halifax4620101669:6670
9Hartlepool4618141454:5968
10Woking4616151569:5463
11Tamworth4617111863:7162
12Boston United4615141763:6759
13Altrincham461762355:6557
14Solihull Moors4614141871:7256
15Wealdstone4615112067:7456
16Yeovil461562548:6851
17Eastleigh4613112257:8050
18Gateshead461482454:9050
19Sutton4611142159:7947
20Aldershot461372669:8746
21Brackley4610122440:7542
22Morecambe469112666:10338
23Braintree468122638:7636
24Truro468102842:7234