Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eastleigh vs Crawley Town

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Pereira D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Eastleigh and Crawley Town finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Crawley Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Eastleigh
30%
Draws
31%
Crawley Town
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Eastleigh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eastleigh come out ahead of Crawley Town on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Crawley Town here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Eastleigh Clean Sheet 20%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eastleigh Crawley Town
Matches Played 27 26
Wins 7 5
Draws 4 9
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Crawley Town
0:1
Jul 26, 2014 Club Friendly
Eastleigh vs Crawley Town
3:3
Jan 12, 2008 FA Trophy
Crawley Town vs Eastleigh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eastleigh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Crawley Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eastleigh 31 / 100
Crawley Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eastleigh Crawley Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Eastleigh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Eastleigh found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Crawley Town has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Recent resilience: Eastleigh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Eastleigh VS Crawley Town
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Eastleigh

(Home)
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Boreham Wood
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
31 Aug
Eastleigh
1 : 1
Aldershot
28 Aug
Hartlepool
0 : 1
Eastleigh
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Crawley Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
29 Aug
Crawley Town
0 : 2
Bristol Rovers
22 Aug
Rochdale
1 : 2
Crawley Town
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