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Ebbs vs Kematen

Austria Austria

Tirol
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Kematen in this Tirol matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Kematen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ebbs
20%
Draws
51%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Ebbs have won more games recently than Kematen.
  • Ebbs are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tirol form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Ebbs Clean Sheet 10%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbs Kematen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.24 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.45
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kematen
1:2
Jun 3, 2026 Tirol
Kematen vs Ebbs
4:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kematen
6:1
Apr 18, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs Ebbs
3:1
Sep 22, 2024 Tirol
Ebbs vs Kematen
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbs 40 / 100
Kematen 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbs Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbs found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Kematen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ebbs stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebbs VS Kematen
2.75 Goals Scored 2.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbs

(Home)
13 Sept
Ebbs
3 : 0
SC Munster
04 Sept
SC Kundl
1 : 1
Ebbs
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
23 Aug
Innsbrucker AC
3 : 0
Ebbs
15 Aug
Ebbs
3 : 4
SV Haiming
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Kematen

(Away)
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
21 Aug
Kematen
5 : 5
FC Natters
16 Aug
Telfs
3 : 2
Kematen
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