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Ebbsfleet vs Chesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet host Chesham in the National League South. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ebbsfleet at 2 goals for, 1.04 against; Chesham at 2 for, 2.14 against. Head-to-head, Ebbsfleet have won 1 to Chesham's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 4:1. xG projections (2.81 - 0.75) back Ebbsfleet to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Ebbsfleet
20%
Draws
6%
Chesham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ebbsfleet come out ahead of Chesham on wins alone.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Ebbsfleet taking it.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Chesham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Chesham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.04 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 National League South
Chesham vs Ebbsfleet
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Chesham
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 85 / 100
Chesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Chesham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Chesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Ebbsfleet stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Chesham
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
27 Oct
Maidstone
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Oct
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0
Maidenhead
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2
Horsham FC
17 Oct
Ebbsfleet
6 : 1
Weston-super-Mare
13 Oct
Ebbsfleet
5 : 0
AFC Totton
Page 1 of 6

Chesham

(Away)
27 Oct
Chesham
2 : 4
Farnham
24 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Chesham
20 Oct
Forest Green
5 : 0
Chesham
17 Oct
Chesham
0 : 0
Forest Green
10 Oct
Chesham
0 : 5
Chelmsford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 12 8 4 0 29:7 28
2 Truro 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
3 Maidstone 14 8 2 4 24:17 26
4 Salisbury 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
5 Tonbridge 14 7 3 4 26:14 24
6 Farnham 13 7 2 4 27:18 23
7 Dagenham & Red. 14 7 2 5 13:11 23
8 Billericay 12 6 4 2 27:16 22
9 Dorking Wanderers 13 5 6 2 29:21 21
10 Folkestone 14 5 4 5 20:16 19
11 Dover Ath. 13 5 4 4 19:19 19
12 Horsham FC 14 4 7 3 16:16 19
13 Chelmsford 12 3 9 0 18:11 18
14 Weston-super-Mare 13 5 3 5 21:19 18
15 Torquay 13 4 5 4 19:17 17
16 Farnborough 13 5 2 6 12:20 17
17 AFC Totton 14 5 1 8 13:24 16
18 Hemel Hempstead 14 3 6 5 14:17 15
19 Maidenhead 14 3 5 6 14:19 14
20 Braintree 13 4 1 8 20:34 13
21 Chesham 13 3 1 9 18:30 10
22 Hampton & Richmond 13 2 3 8 16:32 9
23 Walton & Hersham 13 2 2 9 10:30 8
24 Slough Town 14 1 1 12 14:37 4
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