Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebbsfleet vs Folkestone

England England

National League South Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet
Tue, Oct 6, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet host Folkestone in the National League South. This one's hard to separate. Ebbsfleet have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Folkestone's 2.03 scored and 1.2 conceded. Past meetings favor Ebbsfleet slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 28, 2013, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.19) point toward Ebbsfleet. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ebbsfleet
30%
Draws
33%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Folkestone lately — more wins on the board than Ebbsfleet.
  • Model gives Ebbsfleet a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Folkestone
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.75 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2013 FA Cup
Ebbsfleet vs Folkestone
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 42 / 100
Folkestone 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Folkestone conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ebbsfleet stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Folkestone
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Salisbury
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2
Ebbsfleet
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Folkestone

(Away)
12 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 2
Farnham
08 Sept
Folkestone
1 : 1
Horsham FC
05 Sept
Torquay
3 : 2
Folkestone
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Slough Town
0 : 2
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)