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Ebbsfleet vs Folkestone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Peake L.

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebbsfleet.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ebbsfleet
30%
Draws
31%
Folkestone
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ebbsfleet lately — more wins on the board than Folkestone.
  • Model gives Ebbsfleet a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Folkestone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Folkestone
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.07 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Folkestone
1:0
Sep 28, 2013 FA Cup
Ebbsfleet vs Folkestone
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebbsfleet Compare

Top Goalscorer Peake L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Folkestone Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 85 / 100
Folkestone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Folkestone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Folkestone conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Ebbsfleet stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Folkestone
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6
Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Maidstone
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Oct
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0
Maidenhead
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

Folkestone

(Away)
31 Oct
Chesham
2 : 2
Folkestone
27 Oct
Tonbridge
2 : 0
Folkestone
24 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 0
Farnborough
17 Oct
Folkestone
2 : 1
AFC Totton
10 Oct
Weston-super-Mare
1 : 1
Folkestone
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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