Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebbsfleet vs Forest Green

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026 Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Moore I.
87' Event
Babalola T.

AI Match Summary

Forest Green in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ebbsfleet
20%
Draws
40%
Forest Green
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forest Green lately — more wins on the board than Ebbsfleet.
  • Model gives Ebbsfleet a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Forest Green arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Forest Green, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 10%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Forest Green
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 FA Trophy
Ebbsfleet vs Forest Green
0:2
Feb 18, 2025 National League
Ebbsfleet vs Forest Green
0:0
Oct 22, 2024 National League
Forest Green vs Ebbsfleet
3:1
Jan 10, 2015 FA Trophy
Ebbsfleet vs Forest Green
1:0
Mar 30, 2013 National League
Ebbsfleet vs Forest Green
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebbsfleet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Forest Green Compare

Top Goalscorer Moore I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Babalola T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 83 / 100
Forest Green 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Forest Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EBB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Forest Green has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Ebbsfleet went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Forest Green
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Forest Green

(Away)
01 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 4
Swindon
29 Jul
Forest Green
3 : 2
Bristol City
25 Jul
Forest Green
1 : 5
Cardiff
21 Jul
Forest Green
2 : 2
Bristol Rovers
18 Jul
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Forest Green
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sudbury 2
Leiston 1
TBD -
Hereford -
Radcliffe -
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Bradford PA 2
Morpeth 1
Solihull Moors -
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Spennymoor -
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AFC Fylde -
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Eastleigh -
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TBD -
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Aldershot -
Buxton -
TBD -
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Southport -
Leek Town 3
Bromsgrove 0
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Basingstoke 1
Dorchester 2
Brentwood 3
Welling 0
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Alvechurch 1
Worcester 0
Real Bedford 3
Ashford United 2
Redditch 1
Gainsborough 2
Alfreton -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
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Peterborough Sports -
Chester -
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Clitheroe 4
Stockton 2
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York City -
Leatherhead 2
Canvey Island 1
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Hampton & Richmond -
King’s Lynn -
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Stanway Rovers 1
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Horsham FC -
TBD -
Farnham 3
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 1
Portchester 0
Waltham Abbey 0
Chatham 2
Plymouth Parkway 2
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Salisbury -
Harborough 4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
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Enfield Town -
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TBD -
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Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers -
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Eastbourne Borough -
Bath City -
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Bracknell Town 1
Banbury 0
Southend -
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Truro -
Halifax -
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United of Manchester 1
Bamber Bridge 0
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Darlington FC -
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bedford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 4
Stratford 0
Chorley -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Spalding United 0
Corby 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 2
Cray Valley 1
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Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
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TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
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Billericay 0
Stortford 5
Wingate & Finchley 0
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. -
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Tilbury 1
Hadley 0
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
St. Albans 0
Hanwell Town 2
Tamworth -
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TBD -
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Boston United -
Leamington -
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Maidenhead -
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Rochdale -
Ilkeston 3
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Marine -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Stocksbridge 3
Slough Town -
TBD -
Gloucester City 1
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Tonbridge -
TBD -
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Worthing FC -
Walton & Hersham 5
Hendon 1
TBD -
Farnborough -
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Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
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Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
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Burgess Hill 1
Folkestone 4
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AFC Totton -
South Shields -
TBD -
Dunston 1
Hebburn Town 0
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Prescot Cables 2
Guiseley 1
1/64-finals
Sudbury 1
Hereford 5
Radcliffe 3
Bradford PA 2
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Spennymoor 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Buxton 2
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Scarborough Athletic 0
Dover Ath. 2
Dorchester 0
Brentwood 0
Hornchurch 1
Chesham 1
Telford 2
TBD -
Altrincham -
Yeovil -
TBD -
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
Alvechurch 2
Real Bedford 1
Gainsborough 1
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Oxford City 1
Peterborough Sports 2
Chester 0
Clitheroe 1
TBD -
York City -
Leatherhead 2
Hampton & Richmond 0
King’s Lynn 2
Harrow Borough 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Chelmsford 0
Horsham FC 2
Farnham 0
Wimborne 0
Chatham 1
Plymouth Parkway 4
Salisbury 3
Harborough 3
Enfield Town 0
TBD -
Carlisle -
Dorking Wanderers 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Bath City 2
Bracknell Town 1
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Halifax -
TBD -
United of Manchester 3
Darlington FC 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Bedford 0
Anstey Nomads 1
Chorley 2
Worksop 3
Kidderminster 3
Corby 0
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
Morecambe -
Ebbsfleet 2
Sittingbourne 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Forest Green -
TBD -
Chippenham Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Stortford 1
Cheshunt 2
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tilbury 0
Merthyr Town 2
Hanwell Town 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Leamington 2
Maidenhead 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
Ilkeston 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Stocksbridge 0
Slough Town 1
Gloucester City 2
Tonbridge 0
Worthing FC 4
Walton & Hersham 2
Farnborough 1
TBD -
Sutton -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Woking -
TBD -
Folkestone 1
AFC Totton 2
South Shields 6
Dunston 2
Macclesfield 1
Prescot Cables 0
1/32-finals
Hereford 2
Radcliffe 1
Solihull Moors 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 2
Aldershot 1
Southport 3
Leek Town 1
Dover Ath. 1
Hornchurch 4
Telford 4
Altrincham 3
Yeovil 2
Maidstone 1
Alvechurch 3
Alfreton 2
Scunthorpe 5
Peterborough Sports 0
Clitheroe 2
York City 1
Leatherhead 3
Harrow Borough 2
Hemel Hempstead 0
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 3
Plymouth Parkway 0
Harborough 1
Carlisle 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Bath City 2
Southend 4
Truro 0
Halifax 4
United of Manchester 0
Hartlepool 1
Anstey Nomads 2
Worksop 0
Kidderminster 1
Gateshead 0
Morecambe 3
Ebbsfleet 3
Braintree 1
Forest Green 4
Weston-super-Mare 0
Wealdstone 2
Cheshunt 1
Dagenham & Red. 3
Hanwell Town 1
Tamworth 2
Boston United 1
Leamington 0
Rochdale 1
Curzon Ashton 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 4
Worthing FC 3
Walton & Hersham 4
Sutton 1
Boreham Wood 3
Brackley 4
Woking 2
AFC Totton 0
South Shields 0
Macclesfield 1
1/16-finals
Hereford 2
AFC Fylde 3
Eastleigh 0
Southport 2
Hornchurch 1
Telford 2
Yeovil 1
Alvechurch 0
Scunthorpe 3
Clitheroe 1
Leatherhead 2
Horsham FC 3
Chatham 1
Carlisle 0
Bath City 1
Southend 3
Halifax 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Kidderminster 6
Morecambe 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Forest Green 2
Wealdstone 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Tamworth 2
Rochdale 1
Marine 2
Gloucester City 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Brackley 0
Woking 2
Macclesfield 1
1/8-finals
AFC Fylde 0
Southport 1
Telford 0
Yeovil 2
Scunthorpe 1
Horsham FC 2
Chatham 0
Southend 1
Halifax 1
Kidderminster 2
Forest Green 0
Wealdstone 3
Tamworth 0
Marine 1
Walton & Hersham 1
Woking 2
Quarter-finals
Southport 2
Yeovil 1
Horsham FC 1
Southend 2
Kidderminster 1
Wealdstone 2
Marine 1
Woking 0
Semi-finals
Southport 1
Southend 3
Wealdstone 1
Marine 0
Final
Southend 1
Wealdstone 0