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Ebbsfleet vs Gillingham Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Box O.
29' Event
Theodore D.
71' Event
Khumbeni N.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Ebbsfleet and Gillingham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gillingham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ebbsfleet
30%
Draws
33%
Gillingham
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ebbsfleet a 37% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Gillingham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Gillingham
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Ebbsfleet vs Gillingham
1:2
Jul 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Ebbsfleet vs Gillingham
2:1
Jul 17, 2021 Club Friendly
Ebbsfleet vs Gillingham
0:0
Jul 21, 2018 Club Friendly
Ebbsfleet vs Gillingham
2:0
Aug 2, 2014 Club Friendly
Ebbsfleet vs Gillingham
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebbsfleet Compare

Top Goalscorer Box O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gillingham Compare

Top Goalscorer Theodore D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khumbeni N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 49 / 100
Gillingham 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Gillingham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ebbsfleet scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Gillingham conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Gillingham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
03 Oct
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Sholing
29 Sept
Slough Town
1 : 1
Ebbsfleet
26 Sept
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Ebbsfleet
19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Salisbury
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Gillingham

(Away)
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0
Newport
26 Sept
York City
3 : 0
Gillingham
22 Sept
Gillingham
1 : 4
Cambridge Utd
19 Sept
Gillingham
3 : 0
Bristol Rovers
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
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