Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead

England England

National League South Stonebridge Road Stadium, Northfleet
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Francis M.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Ebbsfleet and Hemel Hempstead finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ebbsfleet
35%
Draws
25%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Hemel Hempstead carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ebbsfleet are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.67 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Feb 3, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead
2:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Ebbsfleet
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Ebbsfleet
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 76 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet scored in 79% of their last 24 games.

Defensive concern: Hemel Hempstead conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Hemel Hempstead
0.25 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
13% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2
Ebbsfleet
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 5

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 1
Farnham
31 Aug
Folkestone
2 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
29 Aug
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3
Weston-super-Mare
22 Aug
Salisbury
1 : 2
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maidstone 9 6 1 2 17:9 19
2 Weston-super-Mare 9 5 2 2 16:7 17
3 Dagenham & Red. 9 5 1 3 9:7 16
4 Salisbury 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
5 Billericay 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
6 Tonbridge 9 4 2 3 18:9 14
7 Truro 8 4 2 2 11:4 14
8 Dover Ath. 9 4 2 3 15:16 14
9 Dorking Wanderers 9 3 4 2 18:13 13
10 Torquay 9 3 4 2 13:11 13
11 Farnham 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
12 Folkestone 8 3 3 2 15:9 12
13 Chesham 9 3 1 5 16:15 10
14 Chelmsford 8 1 7 0 9:8 10
15 Horsham FC 8 2 4 2 9:10 10
16 Hemel Hempstead 9 2 4 3 8:10 10
17 Maidenhead 9 2 4 3 8:11 10
18 Braintree 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
19 AFC Totton 8 3 1 4 8:13 10
20 Farnborough 8 3 1 4 6:11 10
21 Hampton & Richmond 9 2 2 5 11:23 8
22 Ebbsfleet 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
23 Slough Town 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
24 Walton & Hersham 8 0 1 7 4:24 1
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)