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Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League South
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Francis M.

AI Match Summary

The National League South game between Ebbsfleet and Hemel Hempstead finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Ebbsfleet
30%
Draws
12%
Hemel Hempstead
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ebbsfleet are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 20%
Hemel Hempstead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Hemel Hempstead
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 6 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.07 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 0.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Feb 3, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead
2:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Ebbsfleet
0:0
Mar 4, 2023 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Hemel Hempstead
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 National League South
Hemel Hempstead vs Ebbsfleet
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 85 / 100
Hemel Hempstead 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Hemel Hempstead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebbsfleet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Hemel Hempstead conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Hemel Hempstead's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Hemel Hempstead
2.75 Goals Scored 0.57
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
03 Nov
Farnborough
0 : 6
Ebbsfleet
31 Oct
Truro
3 : 0
Ebbsfleet
27 Oct
Maidstone
1 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Oct
Ebbsfleet
4 : 0
Maidenhead
20 Oct
Ebbsfleet
2 : 2
Horsham FC
Page 1 of 6

Hemel Hempstead

(Away)
31 Oct
Billericay
5 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
27 Oct
Dorking Wanderers
3 : 3
Hemel Hempstead
24 Oct
Hemel Hempstead
1 : 3
AFC Totton
17 Oct
Tonbridge
1 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
10 Oct
Dagenham & Red.
0 : 0
Hemel Hempstead
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebbsfleet 14 9 4 1 35:10 31
2 Truro 14 9 3 2 27:12 30
3 Maidstone 15 9 2 4 26:18 29
4 Salisbury 14 8 4 2 25:10 28
5 Dorking Wanderers 15 7 6 2 34:23 27
6 Farnham 15 8 2 5 29:19 26
7 Billericay 13 7 4 2 32:16 25
8 Tonbridge 15 7 3 5 27:16 24
9 Dagenham & Red. 15 7 3 5 13:11 24
10 Horsham FC 15 5 7 3 21:16 22
11 Dover Ath. 14 6 4 4 20:19 22
12 Chelmsford 14 4 9 1 21:14 21
13 Torquay 14 5 5 4 22:17 20
14 Folkestone 15 5 5 5 22:18 20
15 Weston-super-Mare 14 5 3 6 21:21 18
16 Farnborough 15 5 2 8 12:31 17
17 Braintree 14 5 1 8 21:34 16
18 AFC Totton 15 5 1 9 14:27 16
19 Maidenhead 15 3 6 6 14:19 15
20 Hemel Hempstead 15 3 6 6 14:22 15
21 Chesham 14 3 2 9 20:32 11
22 Hampton & Richmond 15 2 3 10 18:36 9
23 Walton & Hersham 14 2 2 10 10:33 8
24 Slough Town 15 1 1 13 15:39 4
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Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
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