Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Gallagher R.
84'
84'
Barnes F.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
35%
38%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Salisbury
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ebbsfleet lately — more wins on the board than Salisbury.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 16%
Salisbury Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ebbsfleet | Salisbury |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Salisbury
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 National League South
Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Salisbury
2:0
Feb 7, 2015 National League South
Ebbsfleet vs Salisbury
0:0
Aug 9, 2014 National League South
Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ebbsfleet Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnes F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Salisbury Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallagher R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ebbsfleet 31 / 100
Salisbury 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ebbsfleet Salisbury
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Salisbury Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ebbsfleet scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Salisbury conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Ebbsfleet VS Salisbury
0.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ebbsfleet
(Home) 19 Sept
Maidenhead
1 : 3 Ebbsfleet
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
05 Sept
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2 Ebbsfleet
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2 Gillingham
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
08 Sept
Ebbsfleet
0 : 0 Hemel Hempstead
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2 Gillingham
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2 West Ham U21
Page 1 of 3
Salisbury
(Away) 19 Sept
Salisbury
4 : 1 Taunton Town
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
08 Sept
Salisbury
5 : 1 Slough Town
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Truro
0 : 1 Salisbury
12 Sept
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1 Salisbury
05 Sept
Chelmsford
1 : 1 Salisbury
29 Aug
Maidstone
2 : 1 Salisbury
15 Aug
Horsham FC
0 : 0 Salisbury
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maidstone | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Weston-super-Mare | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Dagenham & Red. | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Salisbury | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Billericay | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Tonbridge | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Truro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:4 | 14 |
| 8 | Dover Ath. | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorking Wanderers | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Torquay | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 11 | Farnham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Folkestone | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 12 |
| 13 | Chesham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 16:15 | 10 |
| 14 | Chelmsford | 8 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 15 | Horsham FC | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Hemel Hempstead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 17 | Maidenhead | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 18 | Braintree | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:18 | 10 |
| 19 | AFC Totton | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 10 |
| 20 | Farnborough | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Hampton & Richmond | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Ebbsfleet | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:1 | 5 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9:21 | 3 |
| 24 | Walton & Hersham | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4:24 | 1 |
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs)
