Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ebbsfleet vs Sevenoaks

England England

FA Cup 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Cundle G.
90' Event
Poleon D.

AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet in this FA Cup 2022/2023 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ebbsfleet
15%
Draws
26%
Sevenoaks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ebbsfleet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Very High Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet have won more games recently than Sevenoaks.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Ebbsfleet taking it.
  • Ebbsfleet have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ebbsfleet, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Ebbsfleet Clean Sheet 68%
Sevenoaks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet Sevenoaks
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2022 FA Cup
Ebbsfleet vs Sevenoaks
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebbsfleet Compare

Top Goalscorer Cundle G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poleon D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Sevenoaks Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet 77 / 100
Sevenoaks 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet Sevenoaks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EBB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ebbsfleet scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Sevenoaks has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Ebbsfleet remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ebbsfleet VS Sevenoaks
2 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebbsfleet

(Home)
31 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
Gillingham
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
24 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University
21 Jul
Ebbsfleet
1 : 2
West Ham U21
14 Jul
Aveley
1 : 4
Ebbsfleet
Page 1 of 6

Sevenoaks

(Away)
14 Jul
Burgess Hill
2 : 1
Sevenoaks
07 Sept
Bognor Regis
3 : 2
Sevenoaks
30 Aug
Folkestone
3 : 0
Sevenoaks
21 Sept
Sevenoaks
1 : 2
Leatherhead
07 Sept
Sevenoaks
3 : 0
Harrow Borough
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester -
TBD -
Charnock Richard 3
Pontefract Collieries 4
Stourbridge 3
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 3
Kimberley Miners Welfare 1
Cheshunt -
TBD -
Stortford 0
Neots 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Tamworth 6
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Stafford 0
Newcastle Town 2
Nantwich 0
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
Farsley -
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
Kempston 1
Bedford 2
Barwell 4
Highgate 1
TBD -
Kettering -
Stocksbridge 2
Atherton Collieries 1
Marine 2
Radcliffe 1
Ashton United 0
Ashington 3
TBD -
Bradford PA -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 2
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Stalybridge 0
Lancaster 1
Bury AFC 2
North Shields 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 2
Penistone Church 1
South Shields 3
Workington 2
Whitby 5
Bishop Auckland 0
Marske United 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
TBD -
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Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
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Basford Utd. 5
Romulus 0
Grantham Town 3
Rugby 4
Lichfield City 3
Stourport 2
TBD -
Boston United -
Rushall 1
Redditch 4
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Hertford Town 0
Royston Town 3
Scarborough Athletic -
TBD -
Dunston 3
City Of Liverpool 0
Witton Albion 0
United of Manchester 1
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Liversedge 2
Glossop North End 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Blyth Spartans -
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Guiseley 2
Avro 1
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Wrexham -
Altrincham -
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Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 3
Whitchurch Alport 1
Matlock 0
Ilkeston 2
Edgware Town 1
Grays 4
Dunstable Town 0
Shefford 2
TBD -
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Chesterfield -
Mickleover 2
Alvechurch 3
Lye Town 1
Harborough 2
Leamington -
TBD -
Nuneaton 3
Belper Town 1
Hednesford 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 3
Loughborough Students 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Worksop 5
Worcester Raiders 0
Goole 0
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 1
Whickham 0
Buxton -
TBD -
TBD -
Alfreton -
Warrington Rylands 0
Hyde 4
Morpeth 3
Warrington Town 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
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Southport -
Notts County -
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Shepshed 1
Coalville Town 3
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Macclesfield 1
St. Albans -
TBD -
Bury Town 0
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 5
Enfield Town 1
St Ives Town 4
Barking 0
Telford -
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Stone Old Alleynians 0
Chasetown 1
TBD -
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Halifax -
Bromley -
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Sheppey United 2
Lewes 10
Three Bridges 2
Erith Town 1
Hereford -
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Bromsgrove 4
Stamford 3
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Bognor Regis 6
Cray Wanderers 2
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Hamworthy United 0
Gosport Borough 4
Royal Wootton 2
Paulton Rovers 4
Yeovil -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Taunton Town -
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Cinderford Town 2
Laverstock & Ford 3
Walton & Hersham 3
Beaconsfield Town 2
Midhurst & Easebourne 0
Chatham 6
Maidenhead -
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Slough Town -
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Worthing FC -
Eastbourne Borough -
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Marlow 0
Uxbridge 1
Dorking Wanderers -
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Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 3
Hastings 0
Eastbourne Town 0
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Bath City -
TBD -
Roman Glass St George 0
Hartley Wintney 4
Phoenix Sports 4
Rusthall 1
Sevenoaks 2
Kingstonian 1
Woking -
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Southend -
Dartford -
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East Grinstead Town 3
Beckenham Town 5
Holyport 0
Binfield 1
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Tonbridge -
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TBD -
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Dagenham & Red. -
Potton United 1
Hendon 5
Wingate & Finchley 1
Bowers & Pitsea 0
Herne Bay 2
Horsham FC 1
Ashford United 2
Hanworth Villa 1
Metropolitan Police 4
Corinthian 3
Corinthian-Casuals 1
Burgess Hill 2
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Slimbridge 2
Sholing 5
Ashford Town 2
Westfield 4
Carshalton 5
VCD Athletic 1
Havant & Waterlooville -
TBD -
Wincanton Town 2
AFC Totton 9
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Winchester City 5
TBD -
Weymouth -
Welling -
TBD -
Fisher 5
Spelthorne Sports 1
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Haringey Borough 1
Ipswich Wanderers 1
Hornchurch 3
Hitchin 0
Heybridge 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Poole Town 0
Salisbury 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
North Leigh 5
AFC Stoneham 3
Didcot 3
Plymouth Parkway 4
Yate 4
Aylesbury Vale 3
Frome Town 0
Tiverton 1
Chesham 5
Peacehaven & Telscombe 2
Bracknell Town 4
Harrow Borough 1
Cleethorpes 0
Stratford 4
TBD -
Banbury -
Berkhamsted Town 2
FC Witham Town 1
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Concord Rangers -
Boreham Wood -
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Wealdstone -
Barnet -
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Basingstoke 2
Weston-super-Mare 4
Blackfield & Langley 2
Shepton Mallet 3
Bishops Cleeve 3
Westbury United 1
Torpoint 1
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 3
Leiston 1
Lowestoft 0
Sheringham 1
Waltham Abbey 7
Buckhurst Hill 2
Brightlingsea 3
Mildenhall 0
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TBD -
TBD -
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Maidstone -
Aveley 2
Potters 3
Romford 3
Hashtag 2
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Harlow 0
Kings Langley 2
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Aldershot -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Gloucester City -
Merthyr Town 5
Truro 2
Larkhall 0
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet -
TBD -
Aylesbury United 0
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
North Greenford Utd. 1
Leatherhead 1
Chichester City 2
Willand Rovers 1
Swindon Supermarine 2
Wimborne 0
Dorchester 1
Farnborough -
TBD -
Hythe 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Enfield FC 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Billericay 4
Leverstock Green 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Biggleswade FC 1
Dereham 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Quarter-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chester 2
Pontefract Collieries 0
Hanley Town 4
Atherstone 1
Cheshunt 3
Neots 1
Kidderminster 1
Tamworth 0
Newcastle Town 3
FC Congleton Town 4
AFC Fylde 4
Farsley 1
King’s Lynn 4
Bedford 1
Barwell 1
Kettering 4
Stocksbridge 2
Marine 1
Ashington 2
Bradford PA 1
Clitheroe 2
Spennymoor 0
Lancaster 4
Bury AFC 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Shildon 0
South Shields 5
Whitby 0
Marske United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 2
Rugby 0
Lichfield City 0
Boston United 4
Redditch 2
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 3
Royston Town 0
Scarborough Athletic 3
Dunston 2
United of Manchester 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Liversedge 1
Chorley 10
Blyth Spartans 2
Guiseley 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Ilkeston 4
Grays 1
Shefford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Harborough 0
Leamington 0
Nuneaton 1
Long Eaton 3
Gainsborough 5
Brackley 0
Worksop 2
Prescot Cables 1
Bamber Bridge 2
Buxton 2
Alfreton 1
Hyde 1
Warrington Town 0
Darlington FC 3
Southport 2
Notts County -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coalville Town 1
Macclesfield 0
St. Albans 2
Sudbury 3
Canvey Island 0
St Ives Town 3
Telford 2
Chasetown 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lewes 1
Three Bridges 5
Hereford 1
Bromsgrove 0
Torquay -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis 0
Hampton & Richmond 2
Gosport Borough 2
Paulton Rovers 3
Yeovil -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Laverstock & Ford 0
Walton & Hersham 5
Chatham 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Slough Town 1
Worthing FC 3
Eastbourne Borough 2
Uxbridge 0
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Cray Valley 1
Hanwell Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 3
Hartley Wintney 2
Phoenix Sports 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Dartford 1
Beckenham Town 2
Binfield 4
Tonbridge 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Wingate & Finchley 1
Herne Bay 2
Ashford United 0
Metropolitan Police 3
Burgess Hill 1
Chippenham Town 3
Sholing 0
Westfield 1
Carshalton 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
AFC Totton 0
Winchester City 1
Weymouth 3
Welling 3
Fisher 0
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Hornchurch 3
Heybridge 2
Braintree 3
Salisbury 1
Oxford City 2
North Leigh 2
Plymouth Parkway 3
Yate 2
Tiverton 1
Chesham 2
Bracknell Town 5
Stratford 0
Banbury 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
Concord Rangers 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Shepton Mallet 0
Bishops Cleeve 6
Helston Athletic 7
Needham Market 2
Sheringham 0
Waltham Abbey 2
Brightlingsea 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidstone -
Potters 1
Romford 2
Chelmsford 6
Kings Langley 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Hungerford 1
Gloucester City 3
Merthyr Town 3
Cirencester 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Margate 1
Folkestone 3
Chichester City 0
Swindon Supermarine 1
Dorchester 0
Farnborough 3
Hayes & Yeading 1
Enfield FC 0
Billericay 4
East Thurrock Utd 0
Biggleswade Town 3
Semi-finals
Oldham -
TBD -
Chester 4
Hanley Town 0
Cheshunt 1
Kidderminster 2
FC Congleton Town 2
AFC Fylde 6
King’s Lynn 6
Kettering 1
Stocksbridge 2
Ashington 5
Clitheroe 1
Bury AFC 3
TBD -
York City -
South Shields 5
Marske United 2
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Basford Utd. 5
Boston United 4
Peterborough Sports 3
Hemel Hempstead 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
Curzon Ashton 5
Chorley 0
Blyth Spartans 1
TBD -
Wrexham -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Anstey Nomads 5
Shefford 0
TBD -
Chesterfield -
Alvechurch 4
Nuneaton 0
Gainsborough 0
Worksop 1
Bamber Bridge 0
Buxton 3
Hyde 1
Darlington FC 0
Notts County -
TBD -
Coalville Town 3
Sudbury 0
St Ives Town 3
Chasetown 1
TBD -
Halifax -
Bromley -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Hereford 3
Torquay -
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond 6
Paulton Rovers 1
Yeovil -
TBD -
Taunton Town 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Worthing FC 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Hanwell Town 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Bath City 0
Sevenoaks 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Beckenham Town 5
Binfield 3
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Hendon 3
Herne Bay 2
Metropolitan Police 1
Chippenham Town 2
Carshalton 0
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Weymouth 3
Welling 0
Hornchurch 3
Braintree 0
Oxford City 4
Plymouth Parkway 2
Yate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Banbury 2
Berkhamsted Town 0
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Barnet -
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare 7
Helston Athletic 2
Needham Market 2
Brightlingsea 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Romford 0
Chelmsford 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Gloucester City 0
Merthyr Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Folkestone 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Farnborough 5
Billericay 3
Biggleswade Town 6
Final
Oldham 4
Chester 3
Kidderminster 2
AFC Fylde 4
King’s Lynn 3
Ashington 1
Bury AFC 1
York City 2
South Shields 1
Scunthorpe 0
Solihull Moors 1
Basford Utd. 0
Peterborough Sports 0
Curzon Ashton 1
Blyth Spartans 3
Wrexham 4
Altrincham 3
Gateshead 4
Anstey Nomads 0
Chesterfield 3
Alvechurch 3
Worksop 2
Buxton 2
Hyde 1
Notts County 2
Coalville Town 3
St Ives Town 0
Halifax 3
Bromley 1
Hereford 2
Torquay 4
Hampton & Richmond 3
Yeovil 0
Taunton Town 1
Maidenhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 1
Dorking Wanderers 1
Eastleigh 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Sevenoaks 0
Woking 2
Southend 1
Beckenham Town 0
Dagenham & Red. 7
Hendon 2
Chippenham Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Weymouth 2
Hornchurch 1
Oxford City 4
Bracknell Town 2
Banbury 1
Boreham Wood 5
Wealdstone 3
Barnet 3
Weston-super-Mare 0
Needham Market 1
Maidstone 0
Chelmsford 2
Aldershot 0
Merthyr Town 2
Folkestone 1
Farnborough 7
Biggleswade Town 0