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Ebbsfleet W vs Portsmouth W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2023/2024
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AI Match Summary

Ebbsfleet W play Portsmouth W in the Women’s FA Cup 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ebbsfleet W averaged 1.43 goals scored and 3.86 conceded. Portsmouth W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.12 conceded. In past meetings, Ebbsfleet W won 0, Portsmouth W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 26, 2023 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.79 for Ebbsfleet W and 1.30 for Portsmouth W. This points to a Portsmouth W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Ebbsfleet W
15%
Draws
50%
Portsmouth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Portsmouth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Ebbsfleet W picked up more points recently compared to Portsmouth W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.79 vs 1.30 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Ebbsfleet W Clean Sheet 19%
Portsmouth W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebbsfleet W Portsmouth W
Matches Played 7 33
Wins 2 9
Draws 0 3
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.43 1.33
Goals Conceded 3.86 2.12

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2023 Women’s FA Cup
Ebbsfleet W vs Portsmouth W
0:7

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebbsfleet W 35 / 100
Portsmouth W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebbsfleet W Portsmouth W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Portsmouth W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ebbsfleet W attacking → ← attacking Portsmouth W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebbsfleet W scored in 71% of their last 7 games.

Portsmouth W let in goals in 85% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Ebbsfleet W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Portsmouth W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 30
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38