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Ebedei vs Ekiti United Prediction & H2H Stats

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The NNL 2022/2023 game between Ebedei and Ekiti United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ekiti United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ebedei
15%
Draws
51%
Ekiti United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ekiti United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ekiti United come out ahead of Ebedei on wins alone.
  • Ekiti United are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ekiti United have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Ebedei Clean Sheet 20%
Ekiti United Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebedei Ekiti United
Matches Played 13 33
Wins 3 15
Draws 1 2
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.92 1
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 NNL
Ebedei vs Ekiti United
1:2
Apr 2, 2023 NNL
Ekiti United vs Ebedei
3:0
Nov 14, 2020 Club Friendly
Ebedei vs Ekiti United
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebedei 20 / 100
Ekiti United 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebedei Ekiti United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ekiti United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ekiti United let in goals in 64% of their last 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Ebedei scored in 54% of their last 13 games.

Ebedei went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ekiti United
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebedei

(Home)
10 Jun
Ebedei
2 : 1
Ikorodu United
04 Jun
Madiba
6 : 0
Ebedei
24 May
Ebedei
1 : 3
Rangers International
14 May
Ebedei
1 : 2
Ekiti United
10 May
Ebedei
4 : 0
Igbajo
Page 1 of 3

Ekiti United

(Away)
16 Apr
Stormers
0 : 2
Ekiti United
12 Apr
Ekiti United
3 : 1
Rovers FC
29 Mar
Akwa United
3 : 1
Ekiti United
25 Mar
Ekiti United
1 : 0
Abakaliki
14 Mar
Solution
1 : 0
Ekiti United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EFCC FC 10 6 1 3 12:7 19
2 Mighty Jets 10 6 0 4 7:7 18
3 Hypebuzz 10 4 2 4 13:8 14
4 Mailantarki Care 10 4 2 4 8:6 14
5 Abubakar Bukola Saraki 10 4 0 6 7:11 12
6 Kogi United 10 2 3 5 5:13 9
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Katsina Utd 10 6 3 1 14:6 21
2 City FC Abuja 10 5 1 4 7:10 16
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 10 4 3 3 11:8 15
4 Nigeria Airforce FC 10 2 5 3 7:8 11
5 FWC Champions 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
6 Green Beret 10 1 4 5 9:14 7
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 One Rocket 10 6 2 2 17:10 20
2 Warri Wolves 10 5 3 2 10:8 18
3 Rovers FC 10 4 4 2 8:7 16
4 Vandrezzer 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
5 Henserd 10 3 1 6 13:15 10
6 Go Round 10 1 3 6 4:12 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
2 Ijebu 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
3 Crown FC 10 4 3 3 9:8 15
4 Gateway United 10 3 2 5 5:8 11
5 Smart City 10 4 1 5 7:13 10
6 Joy Cometh 10 2 2 6 9:15 8
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kano Pillars 8 6 1 1 14:3 19
2 Kebbi 8 4 2 2 12:9 14
3 Malumfashi 8 4 1 3 12:8 13
4 Sokoto United 8 2 2 4 8:11 8
5 Zamfara United 8 0 2 6 2:17 2
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 DMD 6 3 2 1 3:1 11
2 Yobe Stars 6 3 1 2 1:2 7
3 Adamawa Utd 6 2 1 3 3:5 7
4 Police Machine 6 1 2 3 2:4 5
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abeokuta 8 5 2 1 16:7 17
2 Ekiti United 8 5 1 2 12:9 16
3 Madiba 8 4 2 2 16:7 14
4 Ikorodu United 8 2 0 6 8:14 6
5 Ebedei 8 1 1 6 5:20 4
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Heartland FC 10 6 4 0 10:4 22
2 Giant Brillars 10 4 3 3 10:8 15
3 Cynosure 10 4 2 4 14:8 14
4 Abia Comets 10 3 4 3 6:5 13
5 Edel FC 10 3 2 5 7:13 11
6 Ibom Youths 10 1 3 6 6:15 6
Promotion - NNL 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)