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Ebolitana vs Bisceglie

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Pinto N.
41' Event
Bonavita S.
85' Event
Ciprio B.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group H game between Ebolitana and Bisceglie finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ebolitana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ebolitana
15%
Draws
64%
Bisceglie
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bisceglie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bisceglie come out ahead of Ebolitana on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Bisceglie's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 25%
Bisceglie Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebolitana Bisceglie
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 5 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.89 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 0.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Ebolitana vs Bisceglie
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebolitana Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonavita S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciprio B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Bisceglie Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinto N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebolitana 13 / 100
Bisceglie 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebolitana Bisceglie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bisceglie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ebolitana scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Bisceglie conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ebolitana went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ebolitana VS Bisceglie
0.67 Goals Scored 0.63
1.17 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebolitana

(Home)
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
20 May
US Palmese
3 : 0
Ebolitana
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Bisceglie

(Away)
20 Sept
Bisceglie
3 : 1
Nocerina
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
13 Sept
Bisceglie
2 : 1
Francavilla
06 Sept
A.C.D. Nardo
0 : 2
Bisceglie
22 May
Bisceglie
4 : 0
SS Nola 1925
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Virtus Francavilla 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Bisceglie 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Gravina 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
4 Turris 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Real Normanna 4 2 1 1 9:7 7
6 Real Forio 2014 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
7 Nocerina 4 2 1 1 8:8 7
8 Martina Calcio 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
9 San Felice Gladiator 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
10 Manfredonia 4 1 2 1 7:5 5
11 A.C.D. Nardo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Palmese 1914 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Melfi 4 1 1 2 2:4 4
14 Ebolitana 4 1 1 2 4:7 4
15 Francavilla 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
16 Brindisi 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
17 Ischia 4 0 1 3 5:8 1
18 Fidelis Andria 4 0 1 3 4:8 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group H (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H (Play Out)