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Ebolitana vs Troina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2017/2018
Ebolitana Logo

Ebolitana

1 - 3
FT
Troina Logo

Troina

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Troina in this Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Troina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ebolitana
20%
Draws
51%
Troina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Troina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ebolitana haven't matched Troina's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Troina taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ebolitana Clean Sheet 20%
Troina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebolitana Troina
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 15
Draws 11 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 0.87 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.77 1.07
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Ebolitana vs Troina
1:3
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Troina vs Ebolitana
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebolitana 28 / 100
Troina 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebolitana Troina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Troina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Ebolitana scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Troina conceded in 76% of 38 recent games.

Ebolitana has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebolitana VS Troina
0.8 Goals Scored 0.75
1.4 Goals Conceded 2.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
60% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebolitana

(Home)
20 Sept
Manfredonia
3 : 0
Ebolitana
16 Sept
Ebolitana
2 : 1
Bisceglie
12 Sept
Ebolitana
1 : 1
A.C.D. Nardo
06 Sept
Nocerina
2 : 1
Ebolitana
20 May
US Palmese
3 : 0
Ebolitana
Page 1 of 6

Troina

(Away)
22 May
San Luca
4 : 5
Troina
15 May
Troina
0 : 3
Gelbison
08 May
Licata
0 : 0
Troina
04 May
Troina
2 : 1
Castrovillari
01 May
Sancataldese
1 : 0
Troina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vibonese 34 22 10 2 67:24 76
2 Troina 34 24 4 6 59:28 76
3 Nocerina 34 20 9 5 50:20 69
4 Vesuvio Ercolanese 34 19 7 8 58:33 64
5 Igea Virtus 34 18 6 10 43:25 60
6 ACR Messina 34 14 11 9 57:39 53
7 Gela 34 13 13 8 56:46 52
8 AS Acireale 34 14 9 11 47:45 51
9 Gelbison 34 11 14 9 36:42 47
10 Cittanovese 34 11 9 14 43:46 42
11 Portici 1906 34 12 6 16 35:44 42
12 Sancataldese 34 11 7 16 40:41 40
13 Roccella 34 10 8 16 41:49 38
14 US Palmese 34 11 10 13 47:54 37
15 Ebolitana 34 6 12 16 32:50 30
16 Pro Palazzolo (Inactive) 34 5 10 19 26:53 25
17 Paceco 34 6 3 25 30:74 20
18 Isola Capo Rizzuto 34 2 6 26 15:69 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2017/2018 (Play Offs)