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Ebro vs Beasain

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Ebro Logo

Ebro

1 - 0
FT
Beasain Logo

Beasain

Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Hernandez J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ebro in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ebro
15%
Draws
46%
Beasain
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Beasain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ebro lately — more wins on the board than Beasain.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ebro Clean Sheet 18%
Beasain Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Beasain
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.35 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Beasain
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Beasain vs Ebro
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Beasain Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 36 / 100
Beasain 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Beasain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beasain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Beasain has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Ebro has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS Beasain
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
18 Apr
Eibar B
1 : 2
Ebro
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 7

Beasain

(Away)
15 Aug
Beasain
2 : 1
Touring KE
03 May
Beasain
3 : 2
Zaragoza B
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Beasain
1 : 1
UD Logrones
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0
Beasain
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)