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Ebro vs Borja Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024
Ebro Logo

Ebro

1 - 0
FT
Borja Logo

Borja

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Montorio D.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ebro in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ebro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ebro
15%
Draws
0%
Borja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ebro lately — more wins on the board than Borja.
  • Win probability leans Ebro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ebro have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Ebro Clean Sheet 68%
Borja Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ebro Borja
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 1.64 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Borja
1:0
Sep 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Ebro
0:1
Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Borja
0:1
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Borja vs Ebro
0:4
Apr 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Ebro vs Borja
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ebro 95 / 100
Borja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ebro Borja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ebro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Borja lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Borja conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Ebro VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ebro

(Home)
26 Sept
Ebro
1 : 0
Terrassa
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0
Ebro
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0
Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
Page 1 of 7

Borja

(Away)
12 May
Almudevar
3 : 1
Borja
05 May
Borja
1 : 2
Atletico Monzon
01 May
Fuentes
2 : 0
Borja
28 Apr
Borja
1 : 5
Utrillas
21 Apr
CF Illueca
1 : 0
Borja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ejea 34 19 10 5 52:27 67
2 CD Cuarte 34 18 11 5 48:22 65
3 Ebro 34 18 9 7 48:24 63
4 Epila 34 16 11 7 49:31 59
5 CD Caspe 34 16 11 7 42:34 59
6 Almudevar 34 15 10 9 40:30 55
7 Atletico Monzon 34 14 9 11 29:23 51
8 Calamocha 34 14 7 13 39:33 49
9 Fraga 34 13 9 12 49:40 48
10 Utrillas 34 12 11 11 42:43 47
11 Huesca B 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
12 Tamarite 34 11 10 13 52:53 43
13 Binefar 34 9 11 14 36:50 38
14 Fuentes 34 7 13 14 33:47 34
15 CD Belchite 97 34 7 12 15 35:49 33
16 CF Illueca 34 5 12 17 26:54 27
17 Borja 34 5 7 22 16:44 22
18 CD Carinena 34 4 8 22 34:71 20
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2023/2024 (Play Offs)