Sport Picks
Ebro vs Gernika Club Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 
Match Events
3'
3'
Soeiro K.
24'
24'
Solanot de Torres S. E.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Ebro and Gernika Club finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Ebro carry the better recent record into this one.
- 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ebro Clean Sheet 17%
Gernika Club Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ebro | Gernika Club |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Gernika Club
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Ebro
2:0
Apr 3, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Gernika Club
2:0
Nov 15, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Gernika Club vs Ebro
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ebro Compare
Top Goalscorer Soeiro K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Gernika Club Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ebro 31 / 100
Gernika Club 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ebro Gernika Club
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Gernika Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ebro scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Gernika Club's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.
Ebro has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ebro VS Gernika Club
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ebro
(Home) 26 Sept
Ebro
1 : 0 Terrassa
20 Sept
Osasuna B
1 : 0 Ebro
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0 Reus FC Reddis
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2 Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1 San Sebastian Reyes
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ebro
1 : 0 Terrassa
12 Sept
Ebro
2 : 0 Reus FC Reddis
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1 San Sebastian Reyes
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3 UD Logrones
11 Apr
Ebro
1 : 0 Beasain
Page 1 of 3
Gernika Club
(Away) 27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1 Gernika Club
20 Sept
Gernika Club
4 : 0 Llanera
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
06 Sept
Gernika Club
2 : 2 Bergantinos
29 Aug
Gernika Club
0 : 1 Basconia
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Coruxo FC
1 : 1 Gernika Club
13 Sept
Arosa SC
0 : 4 Gernika Club
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0 Gernika Club
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2 Gernika Club
28 Mar
Ebro
1 : 1 Gernika Club
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Union | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 64:35 | 69 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 41:20 | 62 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 73:33 | 61 |
| 4 | Utebo FC | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 56:42 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56:40 | 57 |
| 6 | Amorebieta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 38:32 | 50 |
| 7 | Sestao | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 8 | Ebro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 42:36 | 49 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 41:42 | 49 |
| 10 | Basconia | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Gernika Club | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Naxara | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 39:48 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 22:40 | 37 |
| 14 | Beasain | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 15 | SD Ejea | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35:55 | 35 |
| 16 | Mutilvera | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:65 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 32:59 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:60 | 25 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
