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EC de Patos vs Picuiense

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2 2024 game between EC de Patos and Picuiense finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC de Patos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
EC de Patos
15%
Draws
0%
Picuiense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: EC de Patos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and EC de Patos come out ahead of Picuiense on wins alone.
  • Model gives EC de Patos a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and EC de Patos have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
EC de Patos Clean Sheet 20%
Picuiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC de Patos Picuiense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.33 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.65 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2025 Paraibano
Picuiense vs EC de Patos
0:5
Sep 8, 2024 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Picuiense
4:1
Sep 10, 2023 Paraibano 2
EC de Patos vs Picuiense
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC de Patos 85 / 100
Picuiense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC de Patos Picuiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC de Patos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Picuiense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: EC de Patos scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Picuiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

EC de Patos VS Picuiense
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 4.17
75% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

EC de Patos

(Home)
22 Feb
EC de Patos
1 : 0
Campinense
13 Feb
Treze PB
3 : 1
EC de Patos
08 Feb
Confianca PB
1 : 2
EC de Patos
04 Feb
EC de Patos
0 : 1
Pombal
01 Feb
Sousa
0 : 1
EC de Patos
Page 1 of 6

Picuiense

(Away)
19 Feb
Picuiense
0 : 5
EC de Patos
15 Feb
Botafogo PB
3 : 0
Picuiense
12 Feb
Picuiense
2 : 6
Treze PB
09 Feb
Picuiense
1 : 2
Auto Esporte
03 Feb
Serra Branca
8 : 0
Picuiense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC de Patos 9 8 1 0 20:1 25
2 Auto Esporte 9 7 2 0 20:3 23
3 Spartax 9 5 1 3 15:9 16
4 Queimadense 9 4 1 4 19:13 13
5 Cruzeiro-PB 9 4 1 4 13:10 13
6 Picuiense 9 4 1 4 11:15 13
7 Desportiva Guarabira 9 3 2 4 8:19 11
8 Confianca PB 9 3 1 5 12:13 10
9 Sport PB 9 2 0 7 6:14 6
10 Internacional PB 9 0 0 9 0:27 0
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 2024 (Play Offs)