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EC Guarani vs Aimore

Brazil Brazil

Gaucho 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Lima V.
55' Event
Noninha

AI Match Summary

The Gaucho 2 game between EC Guarani and Aimore finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
EC Guarani
35%
Draws
32%
Aimore
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • EC Guarani's 1.93 goals per match outpaces what Aimore have produced (1).
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Gaucho 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
EC Guarani Clean Sheet 16%
Aimore Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Guarani Aimore
Matches Played 28 34
Wins 16 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Aimore
1:1
Apr 22, 2018 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs EC Guarani
1:1
Mar 21, 2018 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Aimore
0:1
Apr 23, 2017 Gaucho 2
EC Guarani vs Aimore
1:0
Mar 19, 2017 Gaucho 2
Aimore vs EC Guarani
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Guarani Compare

Top Goalscorer Noninha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Aimore Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Guarani 36 / 100
Aimore 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Guarani Aimore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aimore Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Guarani scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

EC Guarani went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aimore conceded in 41% of 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

EC Guarani VS Aimore
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Guarani

(Home)
19 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Pelotas
2 : 3
EC Guarani
09 Sept
EC Guarani
0 : 2
Apafut
05 Sept
Gramadense
2 : 2
EC Guarani
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Aimore

(Away)
19 Sept
Aimore
2 : 0
Lajeadense
16 Sept
EC Guarani
1 : 1
Aimore
13 Sept
Aimore
1 : 1
Passo Fundo
09 Sept
Pelotas
0 : 0
Aimore
06 Sept
Apafut
3 : 2
Aimore
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Passo Fundo 14 8 5 1 21:9 29
2 Veranopolis 14 7 4 3 12:6 25
3 Uniao Frederiquense De Futebol 14 6 6 2 16:9 24
4 Esportivo Bento Goncalves 14 6 6 2 17:11 24
5 Brasil de Farroupilha 14 5 8 1 15:9 23
6 Santa Cruz RS 14 5 7 2 14:10 22
7 Brasil de Pelotas 13 5 6 2 14:8 21
8 Apafut 14 5 6 3 18:13 21
9 Aimore 14 5 5 4 13:13 20
10 Pelotas 13 3 6 4 13:16 15
11 EC Guarani 14 3 6 5 15:20 15
12 SC Gaucho 14 3 3 8 11:15 12
13 GE Bage 14 2 6 6 9:18 12
14 GE Gloria 14 2 5 7 11:17 11
15 Gramadense 14 1 7 6 9:18 10
16 Lajeadense 14 1 2 11 5:21 5
Promotion - Gaucho 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Gaucho 3 2027 (Main)