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EC Itauna vs Democrata SL Prediction & H2H Stats

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Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009
EC Itauna Logo

EC Itauna

1 - 0
FT
Democrata SL Logo

Democrata SL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 game between EC Itauna and Democrata SL finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Itauna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
EC Itauna
15%
Draws
64%
Democrata SL
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Democrata SL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • EC Itauna haven't matched Democrata SL's recent run of results.
  • Democrata SL are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Mineiro 2 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
EC Itauna Clean Sheet 19%
Democrata SL Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Itauna Democrata SL
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 15
Draws 11 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.3 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2009 Mineiro 2
Democrata SL vs EC Itauna
2:0
Feb 26, 2009 Mineiro 2
EC Itauna vs Democrata SL
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Itauna 10 / 100
Democrata SL 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Itauna Democrata SL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Democrata SL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Itauna scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Democrata SL has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: EC Itauna stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Democrata SL
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Itauna

(Home)
20 Mar
EC Itauna
2 : 2
Tombense
16 Mar
Nacional MG
7 : 3
EC Itauna
13 Mar
Formiga EC
3 : 1
EC Itauna
11 Mar
EC Itauna
3 : 1
Tricordiano
05 Mar
Pocos de Caldas
3 : 0
EC Itauna
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Democrata SL

(Away)
15 Aug
Democrata SL
1 : 3
Villa Nova AC
12 Aug
Villa Nova AC
0 : 1
Democrata SL
08 Aug
Democrata SL
3 : 1
Mamore
02 Aug
Mamore
1 : 2
Democrata SL
25 Jul
Democrata SL
2 : 1
Patrocinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ipatinga 22 13 4 5 43:31 43
2 Caldense 22 12 7 3 43:19 43
3 America TO 22 12 3 7 40:30 39
4 Funorte EC 22 8 7 7 39:33 31
5 Formiga EC 22 9 3 10 25:28 30
6 Araxa 22 7 9 6 30:31 30
7 Valeriodoce 22 8 5 9 28:29 29
8 URT 22 7 5 10 23:37 26
9 Pocos de Caldas 22 6 7 9 28:34 25
10 EC Itauna 22 5 10 7 26:29 25
11 Democrata SL 22 6 4 12 29:36 22
12 Ideal FC 22 4 6 12 24:41 18
Promotion - Campeonato Mineiro 2010 (Main)