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EC Juventude vs Athletic Club

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Marcos Paulo
15'
Sub
Carlinhos In: Aponza W.
Out: Carlinhos
46'
Sub
Vera D. In: Kauan Lindes
Out: Vera D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between EC Juventude and Athletic Club finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Athletic Club.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
EC Juventude
30%
Draws
41%
Athletic Club
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Athletic Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • EC Juventude carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Athletic Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Athletic Club
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.18
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Athletic Club
0:2
May 17, 2026 Serie B
Athletic Club vs EC Juventude
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Athletic Club Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Lindes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 41 / 100
Athletic Club 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Athletic Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Juventude scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Athletic Club let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

EC Juventude went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Athletic Club
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1
EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
EC Juventude
05 Sept
EC Juventude
2 : 2
Atletico GO
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0
EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6

Athletic Club

(Away)
19 Sept
Athletic Club
1 : 1
Botafogo SP
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2
Athletic Club
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Athletic Club
5 : 0
Vila Nova FC
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1
Athletic Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Fortaleza 29 14 9 6 33:24 51
3 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
4 EC Juventude 29 14 8 7 31:19 50
5 Operario-PR 29 13 8 8 41:36 47
6 Criciuma 29 13 8 8 28:27 47
7 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
8 CRB 29 13 6 10 42:41 45
9 Sport Recife 29 11 11 7 39:29 44
10 Cuiaba 29 10 13 6 30:22 43
11 Goias 29 12 6 11 30:35 42
12 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
13 Athletic Club 29 10 11 8 34:31 41
14 Nautico 29 10 8 11 35:36 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 29 8 8 13 32:36 32
17 Avai 29 8 6 15 30:38 30
18 Londrina 29 7 7 15 39:41 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 29 3 4 22 17:62 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)