Sport Picks

Stadium Background

EC Juventude vs Avai

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul
Our Tip

Match Events

47'
Allyson
61'
Sub
Nathan Santos In: Aderlan
Out: Nathan Santos
61'
Sub
Fabio Lima In: Alan Kardec
Out: Fabio Lima

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored EC Juventude.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
EC Juventude
39%
Draws
31%
Avai
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • EC Juventude have won more games recently than Avai.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Avai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude Avai
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Avai
1:0
Mar 22, 2026 Serie B
Avai vs EC Juventude
2:0
Sep 25, 2023 Serie B
Avai vs EC Juventude
0:2
Jun 3, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Avai
3:2
Sep 3, 2022 Serie A Betano
EC Juventude vs Avai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Alves
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Avai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude 41 / 100
Avai 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude Avai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JUV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Avai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

EC Juventude went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

EC Juventude found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (27 games).

Scoring Trends

EC Juventude VS Avai
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

EC Juventude

(Home)
24 Jul
Botafogo SP
4 : 2
EC Juventude
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Cuiaba
10 Jul
EC Juventude
1 : 0
Vila Nova FC
05 Jul
Nautico
0 : 0
EC Juventude
28 Jun
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Ceara
Page 1 of 6

Avai

(Away)
21 Jul
Avai
2 : 1
America MG
17 Jul
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Avai
12 Jul
Avai
2 : 0
Nautico
06 Jul
Botafogo SP
3 : 1
Avai
28 Jun
Athletic Club
1 : 0
Avai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Criciuma20117223:1240
2EC Juventude20105522:1235
3Operario-PR20105528:2535
4Fortaleza20104623:1934
5Vila Nova FC20104627:2434
6Novorizontino2096532:1933
7Atletico GO2087523:2031
8CRB2085731:3229
9Goias2085721:2629
10Sport Recife20611325:1929
11Athletic Club20610419:1828
12Sao Bernardo2076728:2327
13Nautico2074924:2425
14Cuiaba20510515:1525
15Botafogo SP2066824:2124
16Ceara2057820:2522
17Londrina20551027:3120
18Avai20551021:2720
19America MG20251314:3111
20Ponte Preta20231515:399
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)