Sport Picks
EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul 
Match Events
14'
14'
MP
30'
30'
MP
37'
37'
Marcos Paulo
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between EC Juventude and Ponte Preta finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward EC Juventude.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EC Juventude
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and EC Juventude come out ahead of Ponte Preta on wins alone.
- Win probability leans EC Juventude's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
EC Juventude Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | EC Juventude | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.18 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 14, 2026 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta
0:0
Jul 19, 2023 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs EC Juventude
0:0
Dec 30, 2020 Serie B
EC Juventude vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Oct 3, 2020 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs EC Juventude
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
EC Juventude Compare
Top Goalscorer MP
2 Goals Assists Leader Fabio Lima
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Ponte Preta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
EC Juventude 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
EC Juventude Ponte Preta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EC Juventude Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ponte Preta has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.
EC Juventude scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: EC Juventude remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
EC Juventude VS Ponte Preta
1 Goals Scored 0.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
EC Juventude
(Home) 19 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 1 EC Juventude
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
09 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2 EC Juventude
05 Sept
EC Juventude
2 : 2 Atletico GO
01 Sept
Londrina
0 : 0 EC Juventude
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
EC Juventude
0 : 2 Athletic Club
05 Sept
EC Juventude
2 : 2 Atletico GO
25 Aug
EC Juventude
2 : 1 CRB
15 Aug
EC Juventude
0 : 0 Fortaleza
04 Aug
EC Juventude
0 : 1 Atletico-MG
Page 1 of 3
Ponte Preta
(Away) 20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
19 Aug
Vila Nova FC
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
07 Aug
Ceara
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:27 | 51 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 51 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 50 |
| 5 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 6 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 7 | Criciuma | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 47 |
| 8 | CRB | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 45 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 44 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 30:22 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 30:36 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | 32 |
| 17 | Avai | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
