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EC Juventude W vs Corinthians W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Montanha dos Vinhedos
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Juventude W play Corinthians W in the Brasileiro Women. Corinthians W are favorites here. Recently, EC Juventude W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Corinthians W averaged 2.32 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, EC Juventude W won 0, Corinthians W won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 21, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.69 for EC Juventude W and 1.94 for Corinthians W. This points to a Corinthians W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
EC Juventude W
15%
Draws
61%
Corinthians W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corinthians W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

87% / Very High Confidence
  • EC Juventude W picked up more points recently compared to Corinthians W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.69 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
EC Juventude W Clean Sheet 10%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 20%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Juventude W Corinthians W
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 8 26
Draws 7 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.33 2.32
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Brasileiro Women
EC Juventude W vs Corinthians W
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Corinthians W vs EC Juventude W
3:0
Mar 27, 2025 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs EC Juventude W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Juventude W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabi Zanotti
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Juventude W 24 / 100
Corinthians W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Juventude W Corinthians W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Corinthians W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +50%
6.25
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Juventude W attacking → ← attacking Corinthians W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Juventude W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Corinthians W let in goals in 55% of their last 38 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

EC Juventude W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Corinthians W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 83
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Corinthians W1291231:1328
2Palmeiras W1283127:1027
3Sao Paulo W1282219:826
4Ferroviaria W1264219:1222
5CR Flamengo W1264219:1322
6Bahia W1263322:1621
7Cruzeiro W1256123:1421
8Internacional W1262413:1020
9Gremio W1252517:1217
10Bragantino W1252519:2017
11Fluminense W1244414:1416
12Santos W1235412:1514
13Atletico-MG W1233614:1612
14EC Juventude W122377:129
15Mixto W121478:247
16America Mineiro W121386:256
17Botafogo RJ W111287:225
18Vitoria W110387:283