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EC Novo Horizonte vs Nova Prata

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Gaucho 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

EC Novo Horizonte play Nova Prata in the Gaucho 3. Nova Prata are favorites here. Recently, EC Novo Horizonte averaged 0.13 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. Nova Prata averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, EC Novo Horizonte won 0, Nova Prata won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 26, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.51 for EC Novo Horizonte and 1.94 for Nova Prata. This points to a Nova Prata double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
EC Novo Horizonte
25%
Draws
59%
Nova Prata
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Nova Prata

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

90% / Very High Confidence
  • EC Novo Horizonte picked up more points recently compared to Nova Prata.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.51 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 17%
EC Novo Horizonte Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Prata Clean Sheet 22%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric EC Novo Horizonte Nova Prata
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 0 2
Draws 2 2
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 0.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2025 Gaucho 3
Nova Prata vs EC Novo Horizonte
3:0
Oct 22, 2025 Gaucho 3
EC Novo Horizonte vs Nova Prata
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

EC Novo Horizonte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Nova Prata Compare

Top Goalscorer Segabinazzi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Galdino T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

EC Novo Horizonte 16 / 100
Nova Prata 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
EC Novo Horizonte Nova Prata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Prata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Nova Prata & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

EC Novo Horizonte attacking → ← attacking Nova Prata

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

EC Novo Horizonte scored in 13% of their last 8 games.

Nova Prata let in goals in 63% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

EC Novo Horizonte went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Nova Prata lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

2 Points in last 5 8
0.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1EC Guarani880025:324
2Apafut842218:1016
3Clube 199281438:149
4Nova Prata822410:128
5EC Novo Horizonte80261:230
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1SC Sao Paulo651011:116
2SC Rio Grande63036:69
3Riograndense622211:38
4Sao Gabriel60152:201